Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
Underwhelming results from Tesla and Alphabet painted the equity markets in the red yesterday. The S&P 500 experienced its worst selloff since December 2022, Nasdaq 100 tumble as Roundhill’s Magnificent 7 ETF dropped more than 6% yesterday. Also, from a broader perspective, the fact that the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut expectations are rising is not positive for the Big Tech stocks as these behemoths were seen as a safe place to hide when the rates were high, and could see their advance wane due to a sector rotation. For the bears who were waiting in ambush, the time of correction may have come and could erase 10-15% from the S&P500 if the upcoming earnings can’t turn the wind.
In the FX, the fact that the Fed and the market is preparing to cut should keep the US dollar index under pressure, although the rising Fed cut bets also softens the dovish central bank expectations elsewhere and should limit the potential weakness of the greenback. The long yen trade is gaining momentum. The USDJPY fell to 152.23 due to rising bets on a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike and the unwinding of carry positions. The major risk is that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might refuse to hike next week, causing the entire long yen trade to collapse. But that’s probably just a bad thought.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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