We’re on the cusp of the US election results. They’re starting to trickle in, pointing toward a more favourable outcome for the Republicans and Donald Trump. As a result, the so-called ‘Trump trade’ is in full swing this morning.
The US yields are pushing higher, Bitcoin hits record, the US dollar is stronger against most currencies (even against gold and Swiss franc), and US equity futures advance while sentiment in Europe is mixed.
In earnings, Palantir hit record high on strong earnings and forecast on AI demand, semiconductors surfed on the news, while Saudi Aramco’s weak earnings get the OPEC-encouraged bulls to scratch their heads regarding Saudi’s future commitment to production cuts. That, along with Trump lead is weighing on oil prices this morning.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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EUR/USD stays near 1.0500 after upbeat US data
EUR/USD continues to trade in a narrow range at around 1.0500 on Tuesday. The data from the US showed that job openings rose more than expected in October, helping the US Dollar hold its ground and limiting the pair's upside. Investors await comments from Fed officials.
GBP/USD trades below 1.2700 as focus shifts to Fedspeak
GBP/USD loses its recovery momentum and retreats to the 1.2650 area after rising toward 1.2700 earlier in the day. The US Dollar stays resilient against its rivals on upbeat JOLTS Job Openings data and makes it difficult for the pair to regain its traction as focus shifts to Fedspeak.
Gold keeps struggling for direction
Following Monday's retreat, Gold stabilizes and trades in a narrow band below $2,650. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays flat near 4.2% ahead of Fedspeak, making it difficult for XAU/USD to gather directional momentum.
Chainlink holds near three-year high fueled by EU tokenized securities partnership
Chainlink (LINK) price trades slightly down around $25.50 on Tuesday following a 33% rally that was spurred by its partnership with Frankfurt-based fintech 21X for Europe’s first tokenized securities trading and settlement system.
The fall of Barnier’s government would be bad news for the French economy
This French political stand-off is just one more negative for the euro. With the eurozone economy facing the threat of tariffs in 2025 and the region lacking any prospect of cohesive fiscal support, the potential fall of the French government merely adds to views that the ECB will have to do the heavy lifting in 2025.
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