|

Trading the UK Services PMI with GBP/USD

  • The forward-looking indicator for the UK's largest sector, services, is closely watched and moves the pound.
  • The Market Impact Tool shows trading opportunities in both downside and upside surprises on this event.
  • The GBPUSD moved, on average, 8 pips in the 15 minutes after the data release and 29 pips in the following 4 hours.

Buying GBP/USD Scenario

  • Tradable Positive Trigger: +1.0343 deviation (56.0898) [BUY Pair]
  • Key Resistance Level:  1.3170 

This time, if it comes out at higher than expected with a relative deviation of 1.0355 or higher (54.2777 or higher in actual terms), the pair may go up reaching a range of 26  pips in the first 15 minutes and 76 pips in the following 4 hours.

This time, if it comes out at higher than expected with a relative deviation of 1.0343 or higher(56.0898 or higher in actual terms), the pair may go up reaching a range of 26  pips in the first 15 minutes and 76 pips in the following 4 hours.

Selling GBP/USD Scenario

  • Tradable Negative Trigger: -0.747 deviation (53.6961) [SELL Pair]
  • Fundamental Support Level: 1.3015

If it comes out lower than expected at a relative deviation of -0.747 or less(53.6961 or lower in actual terms), the GBPUSD may go down reaching a range of 34 pips in the first 15 minutes and 80 pips in the following 4 hours.

1.3015 was the low point after the BOE decision on August 2nd. 1.2960 is the lowest level in 2018, seen in mid-July. Further down, 1.2850 is notable. 

GBP/USD Levels on the Chart

GBP USD technical analysis August 3 2018

More data

The UK, like many other developed economies, relies quite heavily on the services sector. In Britain's case, a lot depends on the financial sector. Confidence ahead of Brexit, which remains a source of uncertainty, may significantly impact the Pound. 

Follow the publication of the figure on the economic calendar. Watch out for the data from the Market Impact tool, projecting the potential price changes according to the deviation. Here is the Market Impact Studies Users Guide.

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.