|

Trading short Nasdaq (US100) and Dax (DE40), Gold (XAU/USD) breaking higher?

Financial news outlets are talking about a recovery in the stock markets but beware!

From the technical perspective, this could be just a temporary rally with price action reaching this upper trend line and the stochastic oscillator displaying very overbought and turning down.

If we move out to the daily chart we see lots of bearish signals including the Parabolic SAR, MACD, and convergence from the Stochastic Oscillator.

If we look at other indices like the DAX we see a similar story.

The USD is showing signs of weakening as we pointed out yesterday.

In particular, GBPUSD is in this ascending triangle just below $1.28 but the stochastic oscillator is quite overbought so be careful if you are thinking of going long.

If and when price action breaks this level of resistance, we have the 38.2% Fibonacci level above.

If we move out to the daily chart we can see that the MACD signal line has left the histogram which is often a bullish indication.

And, the Stochastic Oscillator is showing some bullish convergence as well.

But, if you want to trade any USD pairs or US indices, be aware of Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium this Friday.

This could be a game changer for the US economy.

We promised to take a look at AUDNZD and we see this symmetrical pennant which can very often give us range trading opportunities if we combine price action with our favourite technical indicators.

If we move out to the daily chart we see pretty much the same thing.

Price action on gold seems to be breaking the falling wedge that we have been watching for weeks.

The MACD signal line has broken out of the histogram and is turning bullish.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide toward 1.1800 on renewed USD strength

EUR/USD extends its daily slide and trades at a fresh weekly low below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls below 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure and falls toward 1.3500 on Tuesday. The UK employment data highlighted worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.