Valuations are getting torched — and suddenly, a lot of quality names are starting to look flat-out cheap.
This is when you sharpen the pencil and lock in. Yeah, this will pass — they always do. But sitting out one of the fastest, most brutal repricings of the modern era? That’d be a serious miss, assuming you’ve got the liquidity, the patience, and the time horizon. This is how real positions get built — quietly, while everyone else is losing their mind.
The problem is recency bias. The headlines are still screaming peak panic, but let’s zoom out — we’re barely in Act I of the tariff negotiation saga. Trump’s playing hardball in front of the cameras, but let’s be honest… he wrote the playbook on fake walkaways. The “no-deal” noise? Pure negotiation theater.
A few folks got bold once the market priced in five Fed cuts — that flipped the entire risk-reward for anyone paying attention. Layer in the political pressure to roll back tariffs and what you’ve got is a macro setup shifting toward reset, not collapse. If the Fed even winks, or Trump signals a tactical retreat, this isn't a doom loop. It’s a re-rate in disguise.
And I’ve lived through this before. I was trading during Lehman. Everyone expected a bailout by Friday. Then: radio silence. Monday? Total Luna Negra. But by that Friday, the pivot rumors started flying, and the tape bounced hard. That’s how quickly the story can flip when liquidity hits the system.
Tonight? Stay nimble. Tight stops.( in either direction) Clean entries. If we get another Wile E. Coyote air-drop, you're covered. But the strategy remains — rinse and repeat. Nibble the dip, manage the risk, stay close to the tape. One dovish whisper from the Fed or a tariff tweak from the White House and these oversold levels vanish fast.
You’ve got to be in the water to catch the wave — just don’t forget the leash.
SPI Asset Management provides forex, commodities, and global indices analysis, in a timely and accurate fashion on major economic trends, technical analysis, and worldwide events that impact different asset classes and investors.
Our publications are for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Opinions are the authors — not necessarily SPI Asset Management its officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. Losses can exceed investments.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trims losses, flirts with 1.1400
EUR/USD gives away some of its earlier losses and reclaims the area beyond 1.1400 the figure on turnaround Tuesday. The better sentiment around the pair follows some loss of momentum in the US Dollar, which recedes from earlier tops.

GBP/USD picks up pace and surpasses 1.3400
GBP/USD now manages to regain balance and advances past the key 1.3400 barrier following the resurgence of some selling bias around the Greenback and a widespread recovery in the risk-associated universe.

Gold bounces off lows near $3,300
After bottoming out near the $3,300 region per troy ounce, Gold prices approach the $3,330 zone as the US Dollar gives away part of its daily advance and the risk-on mood gathers extra pace.

Bitcoin eyes $100,000 amid Arizona Reserve plans, corporate demand, ETF inflows
Bitcoin price is stabilizing around $95,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday, and a breakout suggests a rally toward $100,000. The institutional and corporate demand supports a bullish thesis, as US spot ETFs recorded an inflow of $591.29 million on Monday, continuing the trend since April 17.

May flashlight for the FOMC blackout period – Waiting for the fog to lift
We expect the FOMC will leave its target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50% at its upcoming meeting on May 6-7, a view widely shared by financial markets and economists. Market pricing currently implies only a 9% probability of the FOMC cutting the fed funds rate by 25 bps.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.