There is only 25 days of diesel supply, the lowest since 2008

Diesel inventories are “unacceptably low” and “all options are on the table” to build supplies and reduce retail prices says the economic council director.

Bloomberg reports Diesel Supply of Just 25 Days Poses Problem for Biden

Key points 

• The US is has just 25 days of diesel supply, the lowest since 2008, according to the Energy Information Administration. 
• The four-week rolling average of distillates supplied, a proxy for demand, rose to its highest seasonal level since 2007. 
• National Economic Council Director Brian Deese told Bloomberg TV Wednesday that that diesel inventories are “unacceptably low” and “all options are on the table” to build supplies and reduce retail prices. 
• In New England, where more people burn fuel for heating than anywhere else in the country, stockpiles are less than a third of typical levels for this time of year.
• At least two vessels carrying around 1 million barrels of diesel are due to arrive in New York after being diverted from their original destinations in Europe.

That last bullet point is interesting. Did we call back exports headed for Europe?

Craig Fuller chimes in 

"Diesel is the number two cost for US trucking companies outside of labor. This is horrible news heading into one of the worst freight markets in years."

Price of trucks dropping fast

Long-term diesel price 

EIA price data, US average price, chart by Mish

Diesel price since 2020

EIA price data, US average price, chart by Mish

Those prices are monthly averages and do not reflect what's been happening in October.

 AAA gas prices 

• According to the AAA the price of diesel is currently $5.326, up from the September average of $4.99.
• A week ago, diesel was $5.284. 
• Diesel peaked at $5.816 on 6/19/22.
• Gasoline peaked at $5.016 on 6/14/22.
• The current price of gasoline is $3.793.

From the peak until today

• From the peak until today, the price of gasoline declined 24.4 percent from $5.016  to $3.793.
• From the peak until today, the price of diesel declined 8.4 percent from $5.816 to $5.326. 

The price of diesel is currently rising putting still more stress on the trucking industry.

Ocean shipping costs decline 84 percent, truckers on verge of losing money

The period between Labor Day and Christmas is typically peak shipping season. Don't expect much of a peak this year.

For discussion, please see Ocean Shipping Costs Decline 84 Percent, Truckers on Verge of Losing Money.