|

The US will update its inflation numbers today and tomorrow, and the data is important [Video]

American and Canadian officials have spent the last few hours imposing tariffs on each other—only to roll them back —adding to the absurdity of the tariff situation. The problem is that this tariff charade has real-time consequences and that’s weighing on investor sentiment and pressuring market valuations.

Market volatility is rising as visibility becomes cloudier by the day, any market rebound may not be viable unless there is a form of stability in the White House – but that doesn’t seem to be on the menu du jour.

The US will update its inflation numbers today and tomorrow, and the data is important. A set of inflation numbers in line with expectations, or ideally softer-than-expected, won’t guarantee that inflation will remain under control but will give a bigger margin to the Federal Reserve (Fed) to act if necessary. A set of inflation numbers above expectations, on the other hand, would be the sour cherry on top of an already staling cake.

Across the Atlantic, yesterday saw the selloff in the Stoxx 600 index accelerate. The initial sugar high due to massive spending plans is now replaced by negotiations across the political spectrum as the parties involved are trying to get a bigger part of the cake for themselves... But in fine, security comes first.

Author

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Ipek Ozkardeskaya began her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked in HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high-net-worth clients.

More from Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold holds above $5,000 as bears seem hesitant amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold edges lower at the start of a new week, though it defends the $5,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. The underlying bullish sentiment is seen acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed, bolstered by Friday's softer US CPI, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal as the focus now shifts to FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.