Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
The central bank doves are forcefully back following a significantly lower-than-expected US JOLTS print, and on the back of a surprisingly dovish comment from an otherwise… hawkish Isabel Schnabel from the European Central Bank (ECB).
Due today, the ADP is expected to print 130K private job additions in the US last month, and the Atlanta Fed’s GDP forecast is expected to hint at a sharp decline in Q4 growth to 1.2% from above 5% printed last quarter. If that’s the case, the Fed doves will remain in charge of the market, but the everything rally will likely turn into a… bond rally as we are now at a juncture where the bond optimism might only persist with increased recession probabilities, which doesn't bode well for equity appetite.
The S&P500 closed slightly lower, gold saw support near $2000 per ounce and the EURUSD slipped into the bearish consolidation zone after clearing a critical Fibonacci support.
Crude oil remains sold in a lower-highs-lower-lows pattern and the Chinese CSI 300 sinks to the lowest levels in almost 5 years after Moody’s lowered the country’s sovereign outlook.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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