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The euphoric dragon boat ride has taken a sharp u-turn

After what was hyped as the "mother of all catch-up bounces," China’s markets rally has hit a wall, leaving investors deflated. The reopening surge from the week-long holiday barely had time to gather steam before fizzling out, and now the once-thrilled bulls are licking their wounds. With fresh stimulus nowhere in sight, the rally has stalled, and the euphoric "Dragon Boat" ride has taken a sharp U-turn.

Tuesday’s press briefing from China’s top economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission, was supposed to be the big moment, the one where Beijing unleashed a stimulus bazooka. Instead, it was more of a pop gun. While officials paid lip service to hitting their economic targets and promised vague "further support," there was no meaningful policy boost. The market reaction? Immediate disappointment. Hong Kong stocks tumbled from boom to bust in a heartbeat, leaving traders scrambling to figure out what’s next.

It’s clear the market wanted more, and Beijing’s reluctance to roll out a bigger package is raising serious doubts about the sustainability of this rally. With global risk appetite already on shaky ground, China’s lack of decisive action could be the pin that bursts the bubble. A historic moment may be looming for Chinese equities, but instead of the rocket fuel investors were hoping for, all they're getting is the market equivalent of a flat, day-old soda. Traders are watching closely, but without a serious commitment from policymakers, this rally may have already peaked.

Author

Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

SPI Asset Management

With more than 25 years of experience, Stephen has a deep-seated knowledge of G10 and Asian currency markets as well as precious metal and oil markets.

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