|premium|

The Chart of the Week: EUR/USD enters the bear's lair

  • EUR/USD on the brink of an upside correction on the lower time frames before resuming medium-term downtrend.
  • Monthly demand below the market would be targetted before the resumption of the longer-term uptrend. 

EUR/USD has been rejected from the monthly support in a correction of the monthly bullish impulse. With some more work to do below the structure, the bears have the upper hand, albeit potentially only momentarily.

The following is a top-down analysis from which deciphers where the next bearish opportunity could evolve before the resumption of the uptrend.

Monthly charts

The monthly chart has corrected to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, but there could still be some more room to go until the correction meets prior resistance.

In doing so, there will be a bearish prospect on the lower time frames before the bulls take back control.

As ca be seen, the bulls are already outside of the long-term bearish channel. 

Weekly chart

The weekly charts show that the price is now below an important resistance structure.

In a continuation on the lower time frames to the downside for the week ahead, the chart will be forming a weekly overextended M-formation. 

Daily chart

The weekly price action would enable a retest of the daily structure before the downside continues. 

4-hour chart

The price on the 4-hour chart is overextended and due for a correction. Bears will wait for the price to correct before seeking an optimal entry to target monthly demand. 

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar comeback in the makes?

The US Dollar stands victorious at the end of another week, with the EUR/USD pair trading near a four-week low of 1.1742, while the USD retains its strength despite some discouraging American data released at the end of the week. The pair edged higher on Friday, after the United States Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump's tariffs, although the advance is not enough to change the latest USD flow.

GBP/USD braces for more pain, as 200-day SMA tested

GBP/USD broke the previous week’s consolidation to the downside, as sellers returned with pomp, smashing the major back toward the levels last seen in late January. The pair tested bids below the 1.3450 barrier as the US Dollar strength largely played out throughout the week, while the Pound Sterling stepped back on expectations of divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve.

Gold rises to near $5,100 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand, US-Iran talks eyed

Gold price edges higher to near $5,095 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, boosting safe-haven flows. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Broadening drivers of growth: Unpacking GDP and looking ahead

This week’s data delivered a familiar theme with an important twist. The U.S. economy continues to be shaped by powerful forces in high-tech and AI-related investment, but recent releases suggest the growth story may finally be broadening. At the same time, trade flows are moving in a less supportive direction, reminding us that not all parts of the economy are pulling in sync.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.