SP500 Looking for a turn

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th was the Primary cycle trough. ¹  which puts us entering the 8th week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. Nov. 4th was the 40 week cycle trough as well. We could be looking at a 1/2 Primary cycle crest and then down. I like the Jan 10th date +- a few. A point. If we get a low on Jan 10-12 then we should review the 1st half year forecast dates and take out anything close to the January 10 date. In this case I would not expect the Mars square Saturn to mark a low if the Jan 10-12 dates registered a low. The 1st Half  2017 Forecast dates are estimated from Astrological events only. As time unfolds we have the benefit of market cycles and possibly additional Astrological events.

It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often start with a 6 week sub-cycle. We are there. The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or 9 week sub-cycles.

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming Astros and market cycles to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. Early April is another possibility.

Last month had a number of Neptune transits. The second half of December has a number Uranus transits. These carry on Monday December 26 when Jupiter opposes Uranus. Uranus is in fiery Aries and Jupiter is in justice seeking Libra. This aspect can manifest as a sudden fortunate change in destiny or the tendency to miss the best chances. This transit can also result in tension and strain that is released suddenly.

Also on December 26 Mars opposes the True North Node which could suddenly change the tension and strain mentioned above.

December 12 had the Sun trine Uranus. This is always approx. 17 cd's (calendar days) before the Uranus Direct signature and 12 cd's after Uranus Direct is the Sun square Uranus on January 10, 2017. This is a Uranian time between Dec 12 and Jan 10th. Uranus can indicate the outbreak of political tension, rioting, right-wing political ideas, free market enterprises, airplanes, breakthroughs, surprise discoveries, explosions, demonstrations, retaliation, advanced technologies and surprises in many areas of life.

We are in the middle of the Mercury retrograde period with the Inferior conjunction on December 28th.. The Mercury Retrograde period will last until Mercury turns Direct on January 8, 2017.

We have had an amazing rise since the US election. We are coming into a period where we either rise or move sideways into the January 20th inauguration day, or we get a turn down or a low on January 10th where transiting Saturn will square the USA Neptune in the Sagittarius Rising chart.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointed left) and Mercury direct (blue arrow pointed right). This chart also shows the Superior and Inferior conjunctions. The inferior conjunction is often a short term pull back.

December 26 when the US markets are closed for Christmas there is a 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus. This is the first of a 3-pass with 2 oppositions in 2017. At times this opposition will be a T-square with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit could bring a spirit of  collective optimism. Look for progress as this aspect encourages and a perception of deeper potentialities, poses questions and opens up opportunities. This may be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to improve the capitalist system which is the USA. Don't look for an immediate event. Look for a swing to the right politically. Revolutionary activity. This aspect has a history of turns. This could be the potential crest for the current Primary cycle or a 1/2 Primary cycle. If the pullback occurs before this periodor before January 10th, we will have to re-think the early part of January 2017.

On the other hand, if the society is in crisis it can cause very volatile events to occur without warning amongst an atmosphere of acute tension. There is a dangerous "war mongering" potential for this transit. A quick look at some major charts shows France with transiting Saturn on natal Saturn. Jupiter is almost conjunct the natal True North Node and transiting Pluto quincunx natal Uranus. There could be sudden events particularly over the holiday period. This is based on the French, 5th Republic chart of;

October 5, 1958

0.00 am  CET

Paris, France

48'N52''  2'E20''

As noted above this is a 14 year cycle. Longer term transits, like this, need time to germinate. This transit with the addition of Pluto in a T-square formation may bring problems to the March / April 2017 timeframe. Nevertheless we can expect exciting, new events as the energy of this transit becomes assimilated. There are other issues involving the 8 year cycle of Venus which will be included in the next subscribers report. March / April 2017 could see major problems in the financial markets.

In addition to this transit Mars will make a number of transits over the holiday period. This could be pointing to a violent period with possibly increased terrorist activity.

The other long term aspect is Saturn trine Uranus, a 45 year aspect. We will cover this important transit in the subscriber report. For our purposes here we will say it has a history in the middle east.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report. Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. They both turned up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low.

The January 2017 subscribers report will outline some longer term Astrological aspects and events.

As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross Price is now at the point where the Jupiter and Sun price lines cross so we are looking for a sharp move early in the week.

Harmonics

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun/Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart. The third last hit was

November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following. The next hits are  December 26th then Jan 12, 2017. It may be close to a high. January 12th is close to our Jan 10th date and may be marking a turn or a low.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.

Saturn - black

Uranus - purple

Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support/resistance. Also on this chart is a blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows. The next date is January 12th, that's the same day as the next 24th harmonic for the Sun / Saturn aspect. Again Jan 12 is close to the Jan 10th date a potential low.

There have been a number of earthquakes over 6.5 this week. I'm expecting more probably over the holiday period and into the New Year.

There may also be problems in the mid-East in the New Year. Look to Israel and Egypt. Problems involving Israel may stretch into March 2017.

January 1, 2017 will see Mars conjunct Neptune. This is a possible terrorist signature or some type of poisoning or gas. Watch out on News years Eve.

Gold

I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle ^{&nbsp;<a href="http://trading-daze.blogspot.ca/p/blog-page.html"><b>1</b> </a>} trough. If we are still looking for the low in Gold, which I think we'll see by mid January and possibly earlier considering the Mercury Retrograde period and the multiple Uranus aspects. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26 weeks, an outlier.

On the following chart Gold broke through the 61.8% retracement of the move from December 2015 to August 2016 and appears headed for the 78.6% retracement. We are in the 12th week of the Primary cycle. I'm expecting surprises and a sharp move up in Gold would be one of them. Of course a dramatic move down would surprise me as well but I'm leaning to a move up, ideally in the first 2 weeks of January 2017.

Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury retrograde. Following is a daily Gold  chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the Inferior and Superior Sun / Mercury conjunctions. So, coming up are the Mercury Retrograde date of December 19th then December 28 for the Inferior conjunction. January 8 has Mercury turning direct again. Any of these 3 dates could be a turn in Gold. I'm leaning to a early January low.

Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been October 7th.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. The purple squares are Uranus turning Direct. They often occur near a low then up.

The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a move up in the first 2 weeks of January 2017.

Crude

August 3rd was the start of a Primary cycle. With the recent move up it now appears we had the Primary cycle low on November 14. This would put us in the 6th week of a new Primary cycle and we may be looking at the crest of the first nominal 6 week cycle. As per normal price has moved above the 15 and 45 day sma and the 15 is above the 45. Typical for a move off a Primary cycle low.

With all the aspects and cycles we have discussed in this letter we should keep in mind that the markets will be closed during a number of the aspects noted in this report. This sometimes has the effect of muting the results.

Note the high on Dec 12th which touched the planetary averages for Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto (blue horizontal lines). This may mark heavy resistance in the future.

I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members

Following is a daily chart of crude showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent move up in crude has stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for resistance here or the Pluto price line directly above it in the 52.95 range. The two price lines will cross again on January 6th, close to the January 10th date mentioned above.