S&P 500 followed the path I foresaw ahead of FOMC – brief dip bought, and then positioning for a relief rally to continue. Hawkish cut delivered as called, the trouble was the dot plot being less generous than expected – only two cuts in 2025 is disappointing, less easy money is what will weigh down especially on all three indices, in the now smallcaps especially. Way fewer FOMC members than before were in favor of rate cutting – the (almost) no cut ahead with much data dependency, strengthened.

Uncertainty about talking tariffs was though what killed the recovery attempt when conference time came. I did dive for you in detail into bonds, select sectors, comparing the before FOMC and thereafter situations, market sentiment in newest video, describing as well scenarios of what lies ahead for stocks (and how reassuring each move scenario would actually be), these sectors and real assets were onto something.

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All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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