S&P 500 followed the path I foresaw ahead of FOMC – brief dip bought, and then positioning for a relief rally to continue. Hawkish cut delivered as called, the trouble was the dot plot being less generous than expected – only two cuts in 2025 is disappointing, less easy money is what will weigh down especially on all three indices, in the now smallcaps especially. Way fewer FOMC members than before were in favor of rate cutting – the (almost) no cut ahead with much data dependency, strengthened.
Uncertainty about talking tariffs was though what killed the recovery attempt when conference time came. I did dive for you in detail into bonds, select sectors, comparing the before FOMC and thereafter situations, market sentiment in newest video, describing as well scenarios of what lies ahead for stocks (and how reassuring each move scenario would actually be), these sectors and real assets were onto something.
All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0400 after upbeat US data
EUR/USD consolidates daily recovery gains near 1.0400 following the release of upbeat United States data. Q3 GDP was upwardly revised to 3.1% from 2.8% previously, while weekly unemployment claims improved to 220K in the week ending December 13.
GBP/USD extends slide approaches 1.2500 after BoE rate decision
GBP/USD stays on the back foot and break lower, nearing 1.2500 after the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decisions. The BoE maintained the bank rate at 4.75% as expected, but the accompanying statement leaned to dovish, while three out of nine MPC members opted for a cut.
Gold approaches recent lows around $2,580
Gold resumes its decline after the early advance and trades below $2,600 early in the American session. Stronger than anticipated US data and recent central banks' outcomes fuel demand for the US Dollar. XAU/USD nears its weekly low at $2,582.93.
Bitcoin slightly recovers after sharp sell-off following Fed rate cut decision
Bitcoin (BTC) recovers slightly, trading around $102,000 on Thursday after dropping 5.5% the previous day. Whales, corporations, and institutional investors saw an opportunity to take advantage of the recent dips and added more BTC to their holdings.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.