Mike “Mish” Shedlock's
Sitka Pacific Capital Management,Llc
Golden Week, a seven-day Chinese holiday, is traditionally a peak period for home sales. This year, sales plummeted.
The South China Post reports ‘Golden Week’ Property Sales Plunge in Major Chinese Cities.
Property sales in China’s major cities saw one of their worst “golden week” holidays in years, as buyers held back amid a slowing economy and tight restrictions on mortgage loans.
Sales of new homes in Beijing dropped to their lowest level since 2014 during the week following the National Day holiday, according to data from the property information portal Zhuge.com.
By area, sales of new homes in Shanghai plummeted 86 per cent to 5,000 square metres, while the capital saw a 92 per cent plunge to 2,000 sq metre, according to data from Centaline Property.
Clement Luk, a director for east China at Centaline Property, said the home-buying mood has been dampened by the tightening of mortgage lending and the prolonged US-China trade war that discouraged spending.
“People do not want to commit in big investment now, like purchasing any homes, as market sentiment has cooled quickly since March,” he said. “Most owners prefer travelling during golden week holiday instead.”
“Deals are increasingly difficult to conclude unless owners are willing to cut selling prices at big discounts,” said Guo Yi, chief analyst at Beijing-based property consultancy Heshuo Institute.
Beijing Dilemma
Beijing faces the dilemma of all speculative markets: because most real estate buying is now driven by expected price increases, when prices credibly stop rising, buyers disappear and prices begin to fall. Price stability isn't a real option.https://www.scmp.com/business/article/3032030/golden-week-property-sales-plunge-major-chinese-cities-amid-slowing … via @scmpnews
Michael Pettis @michaelxpettis
When property speculation ends, property bloodbaths begin.
This material is based upon information that Sitka Pacific Capital Management considers reliable and endeavors to keep current, Sitka Pacific Capital Management does not assure that this material is accurate, current or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such.
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