Bouncing off yesterday’s new 2020 intraday lows, the S&P 500 closed higher on the day. But what about today’s premarket action? The bulls didn’t add to their gains in the overnight trading. With the futures back below 2400, where next for the stock market?

Let’s start with the weekly chart to see the shape of things this very moment (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). 

fxsoriginal

While the week is far from over, the price action smacks of a reversal in the making. Accounting for yesterday’s session, the volume appears on track to beat last week’s one. Should weekly closing prices stick around this level, that would support the likelihood of a turnaround. But what kind of a turnaround? It’s our opinion that this would most likely mark a temporary respite only.

Let’s move on to the daily chart.

fxsoriginal

Similarly to Friday, stocks rebounded yesterday. While that appears encouraging, let’s examine whether our yesterday’s notes remain up-to-date also today:

(…) The daily indicators maintain their very extended posture. While that’s no guarantee of a stock rebound, another relief rally might be due in short order.

The potential for a rebound is stronger today than has been yesterday, and it’s not just because of the potential next Fed move later today that might spur buying. It’s the daily indicators – they’re refusing to budge much lower with each daily slide (that speaks to prices being overextended to the downside), and Stochastics has even flashed its buy signal. While the signal came in its oversold area and thus is not as reliable as the one generated outside this range, it’s still notable. 

That’s because should prices remain roughly unchanged today, or even move higher, Stochastics is likely to wave goodbye to its oversold area, lending more credibility to its buy signal. And that would increase the likelihood of more traders jumping in on the unfolding upswing.

Therefore, the current price point offers an opportune entry point from the risk reward perspective – just like our yesterday’s profitable long trade did. Time for some more profits! The full details are reserved for our subscribers.

Summing up, while the bears have the upper hand, the potential for an upswing is growing day by day. And we plan to cash in on that just like we did yesterday. This is primarily supported by the daily indicators’ posture. Our subscribers have the trading position details. 

 


 

Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!

 

All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD turns lower to near 1.0800 ahead of German inflation data

EUR/USD turns lower to near 1.0800 ahead of German inflation data

EUR/USD has come under fresh selling and trades near 1.0800 in European trading on Monday. The pair feels the heat from a modest US Dollar comeback while Euro buyers stay cautious ahead of Germany's prelim inflation data and Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement. 

EUR/USD News
Gold sits at record highs above $3,100 amid tariff woes

Gold sits at record highs above $3,100 amid tariff woes

Gold price holds its record-setting rally toward $3,150 in European trading on Monday. The bullion continues to capitalize on safe-haven flows amid intesifying global tariff war fears. US economic concerns weigh on the US Dollar and Treasury yields, aiding the Gold price upsurge. 

Gold News
GBP/USD holds lower ground below 1.2950 amid tariff woes

GBP/USD holds lower ground below 1.2950 amid tariff woes

GBP/USD has returned to negative territory in the European session on Monday. Concerns that US President Donald Trump's tariffs will ignite inflation and dampen economic growth have helped revive the havem demand for the US Dollar, weighing down on the pair. 

GBP/USD News
Seven Fundamentals for the Week:  “Liberation Day” tariffs and Nonfarm Payrolls to rock markets

Seven Fundamentals for the Week: “Liberation Day” tariffs and Nonfarm Payrolls to rock markets Premium

United States President Donald Trump is set to announce tariffs in the middle of the week; but reports, rumors, and counter-measures will likely dominate the headline. It is also a busy week on the economic data front, with a full buildup to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for March.

Read more
US: Trump's 'Liberation day' – What to expect?

US: Trump's 'Liberation day' – What to expect?

Trump has so far enacted tariff changes that have lifted the trade-weighted average tariff rate on all US imports by around 5.5-6.0%-points. While re-rerouting of trade will decrease the effectiveness of tariffs over time, the current level is already close to the highest since the second world war. 

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025