NZD/USD puts life back to short-term uptrend

NZD/USD marks new higher high for 2024.
Positive momentum might soften; eyes on 0.6368.

Christina Parthenidou XM

NZDUSD stretched its exciting rally to a new nine-month high of 0.6354 on Wednesday before experiencing mild losses.

The pair surpassed August’s bar with a bang, shifting the spotlight to the December 2023 peak of 0.6368. Given the strengthening overbought signals coming from the RSI and the stochastic oscillator, the rally could soon calm down.

A decisive close above 0.6368 could stage a new bull wave towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the latest downfall at 0.6415. The 0.6465 zone posed some limitations during December 2022-February 2023. Hence, a step above it might be necessary for a continuation towards the 0.6500-0.6536 resistance formed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 downtrend and the 2023 top.

On the downside, the broken resistance line from July 2023 could act as support around the August peak of 0.6297. If there are more declines, expect congestion near 0.6250 and then around the important area of 0.6230. In the event that the latter also collapses, there is a strong chance of a rapid fall to 0.6165. Even lower, the door could open for the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) seen near 0.6100.

In conclusion, NZDUSD might face weaker upward pressure in the coming sessions as it sails in overbought territory. To attract new buyers, the market requires a clear close above 0.6368.

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.