|

No changes in US rates, President Powell did not surprise, investors remain cautious

Everything was almost expected in yesterday's interesting day and Euro remain close to 1,08 level as key interest rates remaining unchanged in United States while the statements that followed from Fed's President Jerome Powell did not surprise.

Ιn his statements he confirmed the strong possibility for the first cut in the key interest rates in September while the chances remain high for another cut by the end of the year.

A likely similar path is expected to follow and the European Central Bank with two rate cuts is  currently on the table as the best possibility.

Such a development will not change the interest rate gap which at the moment clearly favors the US dollar which keeps on the table   the scenario of seeing even lower prices ​​in the exchange rate.

On today's agenda in addition to the usual weekly claims for unemployment benefits in the United States, the ISM  index for the manufacturing sector in the United States stands out.

Τhere are no significant differences in the general picture of the market, which is reflected in the  exchange rate  limited range of variation  in the last three days  despite the rather rich agenda.

I continue to remain on hold although I believe that the scenario of a down-break of 1,08 level remains on the table as a good possibility.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak above 1.1750 ahead of German/ EU PMI data

EUR/USD remains on the back foot above 1.1850 in the European session on Friday, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day. Unabated US Dollar demand and nervousness ahead of the German and Eurozone business PMI data keep the pair undermined. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3450 after strong UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is recovering ground above 1.3450 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after a bigger-than-expected increase in the UK Retail Sales for January. However, the further upside appears limited in the pair amid persistent US Dollar strength and ahead of key UK and US data. 

Gold rises for third day on geopolitical risks, US data eyed

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. The upside potential, however, seems limited amid the mixed fundamental backdrop. Moreover, traders might opt to wait for the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – before placing fresh directional bets.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain range-bound as breakdown risks rise

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading sideways within consolidation ranges on Friday, signaling a lack of directional bias in the broader crypto market. BTC rebounded from key support, and ETH is nearing the lower consolidation boundary, while XRP is holding at its lower trendline boundary. 

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.