Frank Walbaum
FX Strategies.Asia
Important news for the day
- Fri, 10th, 14:30 CET US Nonfarm payrolls / average hourly earnings.
- Fri, 10th, 14:30 CET CA Unemployment rate / employment change.
NFP day
Today traders will focus on the NFP data moving forward. Open trades should be protected with stop losses as markets might offer erratic moves. Especially the still thin trading trading conditions might offer bigger moves as liquidity remains limited. Worth noting that XAU and XAG prices show further upside potential as recent support levels look solid Especially Gold might benefit from a potential weakness in the Dollar.On the flipside it seems that crypto markets might offer some downside momentum. Profit taking could be a reason why traders reduce their holdings, leading to sideways prices action and potential more downside opportunities.
Market talk
The biggest news event for the week will follow today with the release of the Nonfarm payrolls data. The ADP data on wednesday had shown a clear miss of the expected figure, yet does not qualify much as a preview. As the US economy still shows resilience to a major correction the figures might not move markets a lot. However, a potential negative figure might act as a catalyst to cause fresh weakness in the Dollar. Whether this will then be used for fresh entry opportunities to get into the Dollar might still be seen. Before the news the Dollar keeps trading in a sideways pattern on an intraday basis.
Tendencies in the markets
- Equities weak, USD strong (NFP news!), cryptos weaker, oil weaker, Silver positive, Gold positive, JPY weak.
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EUR/USD trades in a tight channel at around 1.0300 in the European session on Friday. However, concerns over US President-elect Trump's policies and hawkish Fed expectations keep the US Dollar afloat ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls data, capping the pair's upside.
GBP/USD struggles to stay above 1.2300, eyes on US jobs report
GBP/USD finds it difficult to gather recovery momentum after rising above 1.2300 earlier in the day. The pair remains vulnerable amid persistent US Dollar strength and the UK bond market turmoil. The focus now shifts to the US labor market data for fresh directives.
Gold climbs to fresh multi-week high above $2,680 ahead of US NFP
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How to trade NFP, one of the most volatile events Premium
NFP is the acronym for Nonfarm Payrolls, arguably the most important economic data release in the world. The indicator, which provides a comprehensive snapshot of the health of the US labor market, is typically published on the first Friday of each month.
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