|

Natural Gas Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Natural Gas Elliott Wave analysis

Since the shift to the March 2024 contract, Natural gas futures prices have gained over 29% and are close to completely recovering from the sell-off in the previous weeks. On a bigger scale, it appears the commodity will extend the bullish corrective sequence from February 2024.

Natural Gas: Daily chart analysis

On the daily chart, it’s clear the commodity is in a corrective phase that started in February 2024. That low marked the end of a bearish impulse sequence that started in August 2022 when the commodity exchanged for $10. Meanwhile, the corrective sequence from February 2024 is emerging into a double zigzag structure. Wave (W) finished at the peak of January 2025 from where the price dropped to finish wave (X). Wave (Y) started in the last days of January and could extend to the $5.7-$6.8 price zone. Thus, the upside is favored to continue in the short term. However, until the top of wave (W) is breached, traders should be cautious of a lower wave (X) in a double zigzag structure.

GAS

Natural Gas: Four-hour chart analysis

On the H4 chart, the price is currently in wave A of (Y) with an impulse wave pattern. Thus, after wave A, traders should expect a bullish reaction from the wave B pullback. However, with the current price action, it doesn’t appear that wave A has finished yet - may still extend higher before wave B corrects it.

Chart

Natural Gas Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.