|

Natural Gas Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Natural Gas Elliott Wave analysis 

Natural Gas completed the bullish correction that started at the low of February 2024. The recent bearish response suggests that the commodity could be about to resume the larger bearish trend that lasted between August 2022 and February 2024.

Daily chart analysis

The Elliott wave theory is built on 5-3 price sequences. This means a 5-wave trend should be followed by a 3-wave correction. After the end of the correction, the price should resume in the direction of the trend—in another 5-wave sequence. That’s the case with Natural Gas. 

The commodity completed a 5-wave decline - wave ((A)), between August 2022 and February 2024 and then followed by a 3-wave correction identified as wave ((B)). With wave ((B)) ending at the peak of January 2025, wave ((C)) should have started. Thus, we can start counting the sub-waves of ((C)) to prices below the February 2024 low. Wave ((C)) is expected to emerge as a 5-wave sequence.

NG

Four-hour chart analysis

On the H4 chart, the sub-waves of ((C)) have started. From the peak of January 2024, a bearish impulse wave is emerging - expected to be for wave 1 of (1) of ((C)). Within wave 1, the price is in wave (iii) of ((iii)). Thus, wave 1 could still extend lower before a bullish correction for wave 2 ensues. Wave 2 bounce could provide an opportunity for sellers to find good entries.

CAS

Natural Gas Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).