The Canadian dollar has taken a break after an impressive three-day rally, in which the currency climbed about 2%. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4148, up 0.39%. On Thursday, the Canadian dollar touched 140.26, its strongest level since December.
US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to dip
The hottest financial news is understandably the wave of selling in the equity markets, but there are some key economic releases today as well. The US and Canada will both release the March employment report later today.
The US releases nonfarm payrolls, with the markets projecting a gain of 135 thousand, after a gain of 151 thousand in February. This would point to the US labor market cooling at a gradual pace, which suits the Federal Reserve just fine. The Fed will also be keeping a watchful eye on wage growth, which is expected to tick lower to 3.9% y/y from 4.0%. The unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.1%.
The employment landscape is uncertain, with the DOGE layoffs and newly-announced tariffs expected to dampen wage growth in the coming months.
Canada's employment is expected to improve slightly to 12 thousand, after a negligible gain of 1.1 thousand in February. Unemployment has been stubbornly high and is expected to inch up to 6.7% from 6.6%.
Canada vows retaliatory tariffs against US
US President Donald Trump's tariff bombshell on Wednesday did not impose new tariffs on Canada, but trade tensions continue to escalate between the two allies. Canada said it would mirror the US stance and impose a 25% tariff on all vehicles imported from the US that do not comply with the US-Canada-Mexico-Canada free trade deal. The US has promised to respond to any new tariffs against the US, which could mean a tit-for-tat exchange of tariffs between Canada and the US.
US/Canada technical
-
USD/CAD has pushed above resistance at 1.4088 and 141.26. The next resistance line is 1.4170.
-
1.4044 and 1.4006 are the next support levels.
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors — not necessarily OANDA’s, its officers or directors. OANDA’s Terms of Use and Privacy Policy apply. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Gold price extends fresh record run toward $3,500
Gold price continues to build on its record rally, closing in on the $3,500 mark in Asian trading on Tuesday. Investors continue to flock to safety in the traditional store of value, the Gold price, amid no confidence in the US Dollar and Trump’s attacks on Fed Chairman Powell.
AUD/USD holds steady above 0.6400 amid a tepid US Dollar bounce
AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6400 in the Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar attempts a tepid bounce amid the uncertainty over Trump's trade policies and the weakening confidence in the US economy. Concerns about the rapidly escalating US-China trade war act as a headwind for the Aussie.
USD/JPY mires in multi-month low near 140.50
USD/JPY stays defensive near 140.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday, consolidating Monday's downfall to seven-month lows. Trade war concerns, global recession fears, hopes for a US-Japan trade deal, and the divergent BoJ-Fed bets could continue to underpin the Japanese Yen despite a broad US Dollar rebound.
ARK Invest integrates Canada's 3iQ Solana Staking ETF into its crypto funds
Asset manager ARK Invest announced on Monday that it added exposure for Solana staking to its ARK Next Generation Internet exchange-traded fund and ARK Fintech Innovation ETF through an investment in Canada's 3iQ Solana Staking ETF.
Five fundamentals for the week: Traders confront the trade war, important surveys, key Fed speech Premium
Will the US strike a trade deal with Japan? That would be positive progress. However, recent developments are not that positive, and there's only one certainty: headlines will dominate markets. Fresh US economic data is also of interest.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.