|

Market gyrate on US government shutdown theatrics

Precious metals markets got hammered earlier this week as interest rates continued their relentless march higher.

The 10-year Treasury note recorded its highest yield since 2007. Meanwhile, the average conventional 30-year mortgage rate surged to 7.31% -- a level not seen since 2000.

Higher rates are putting pressure on housing and financial markets. They are also hitting consumers and small businesses. For now, though, the economy hasn’t entered into a recession – at least not officially.

But the Federal Reserve seems intent on keeping interest rates elevated until something breaks in the economy. Any incoming bad news will likely be good news for precious metals markets, which may now be entering oversold territory.

Investor interest in gold and silver has languished in recent months as prices have failed to break out and remained mired in trading ranges. Of course, investors who are aiming to accumulate bullion should welcome soft market conditions. They make for favorable buying opportunities.

This week’s selling did motivate a good number of bargain hunters to place orders for bullion. Money Metals saw increased activity from large precious metals purchasers in particular.

It’s now a buyer’s market for gold and silver. In addition to reduced spot prices, premiums on coins, bars, and rounds have also trended down. In fact, they have reached the lowest levels since early 2020.

It is possible that spot prices could head lower still in the days ahead. It’s also possible that a big Fall rally is just getting underway.

Investors who want to wait for bullion to get cheaper before buying risk never being able to buy because spot prices never become cheap enough.

Buying and holding during a major bull market is the surest way to profit from it. And the surest way to avoid regrets over purchase prices is to buy in increments over time.

Investors can protect themselves from the risks of being on the wrong side of up, down, or sideways markets by simply adding to their positions regularly, regardless of price.

This strategy is also known as dollar-cost averaging. And Money Metals’ Monthly Savings Plan makes it easy for bullion investors to implement. Just Choose the monthly dollar amount you wish to invest, which can be as little as $100, or the monthly number of ounces you want to buy.

By exchanging depreciating U.S. fiat currency for sound money regularly, you’ll have good odds of coming out ahead over time in terms of purchasing power.

Heading into the weekend, all eyes will be on Washington, D.C as the deadline for avoiding a potential government shutdown looms. The political melodrama may make for compelling headlines. But investors shouldn’t be distracted by them.

Yes, some agencies could temporarily close their doors. Some federal workers may worry about getting their paychecks on time. But after some sort of bipartisan deal is inevitably reached, it will be back to business as usual.

Government shutdowns and debt ceiling showdowns now occur on a regular basis. They grab headlines and motivate activists on both sides of the nation´s political divide.

But they change nothing -- at least when it comes to the trajectory of federal finances. Government spending doesn't get cut. The deficits don´t shrink. The Treasury Department doesn’t default on bonds. And the Federal Reserve continues to print currency in excess.

It’s ultimately the monetary system that enables politicians to continue kicking the can down the road. And the consequences of fiscal recklessness will ultimately be reflected in the continued decline of the Federal Reserve note’s purchasing power.


To receive free commentary and analysis on the gold and silver markets, click here to be added to the Money Metals news service.

Author

Mike Gleason

Mike Gleason

Money Metals Exchange

Mike Gleason is a Director with Money Metals Exchange, a national precious metals dealer with over 500,000 customers.

More from Mike Gleason
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold poised to challenge record highs

Gold prices added roughly 3% in the week, flirting with the $4,350 mark on Friday, to finally settle at around $4,330. Despite its safe-haven condition, the bright metal rallied in a risk-on scenario, amid broad US Dollar weakness.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.