FX News Today
Treasury yields dipped -1.4 bp overnight, JGB rates are down -0.5 bp as bond markets continue to rally amid the escalating US-Sino trade spat that saw Trump targeting Chinese telecom companies.
Reports that the US President will hold off on auto tariffs for now helped European bourses to stage a late rally Wednesday.
The US President signed an order that is expected to restrict the likes of Huawei and ZTE Corp from selling their equipment to the US. Huawei was also put on a blacklist that could forbid it from doing business with American companies and require US companies to obtain a special licence to sell products to the company, which if enforced strictly could halt even everyday operations at the Chinese company.
The US and European stock futures are under pressure ahead of the official open.
US-Sino trade tensions aside Brexit developments and Italian budget jitters remain in focus amid a pretty quiet local calendar that focuses on Eurozone trade numbers as well as the final reading of Italian HICP inflation.
The unexpected pick up in Australian unemployment fuelled speculation of a rate cut from the RBA.
The front end WTI future is trading at $62.40 per barrel.
Charts of the Day
Technician’s Corner
EURUSD found Resistance at 1.1217 level for 2 consecutive days. The pair has mostly been stuck between its 20-day moving average at 1.1200 and its 50-day moving average at 1.1245 since the start of the week. A close above or below these levels may help determine direction for the remainder of the week.
GBPUSD has extended losses which s now in its 9th consecutive down day, after it broke yesterday April’s lows. Next support for the asset is coming at January’s low Resistance at 1.2772.
Main Macro Events Today
Housing Data (USD, GMT 12:30) – Both Building Permits and Housing Starts should jump in April, to a 1.215 mln pace and to 1.298 mln respectively, after a 0.3% and 0.2% decline seen in March. Overall, a stronger trajectory is expected for starts with a positive but slower pace for permits.
Support and Resistance levels
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD: The hunt for the 0.7000 hurdle
AUD/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s strong pullback and rose markedly past the 0.6900 barrier on Thursday, boosted by news of fresh stimulus in China as well as renewed weakness in the US Dollar.
EUR/USD refocuses its attention to 1.1200 and above
Rising appetite for the risk-associated assets, the offered stance in the Greenback and Chinese stimulus all contributed to the resurgence of the upside momentum in EUR/USD, which managed to retest the 1.1190 zone on Thursday.
Gold holding at higher ground at around $2,670
Gold breaks to new high of $2,673 on Thursday. Falling interest rates globally, intensifying geopolitical conflicts and heightened Fed easing bets are the main factors.
Bitcoin displays bullish signals amid supportive macroeconomic developments and growing institutional demand
Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly up, around $64,000 on Thursday, following a rejection from the upper consolidation level of $64,700 the previous day. BTC’s price has been consolidating between $62,000 and $64,700 for the past week.
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.
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