Erste Bank Research Team
Erste Bank
On the radar
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At 10 AM CET Poland will publish industrial output growth for September, producer prices, employment and wage growth.
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AT 10.30 AM CET Slovenia will release producer prices.
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At 11 AM CET September’s unemployment rate will be released together with August’s wage growth.
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Unemployment rate in Slovakia is also due today.
Economic developments
Today, we look at the progress in automation worldwide. According to the World Robotics report, factories worldwide recorded more than 4 million industrial robots operating in 2023, marking an increase of 10% compared to 2022. Annual installations exceeded half a million units for the third consecutive year and reached 541 thousand in 2023. By region, 70% of all newly deployed robots last year were installed in Asia, 17% in Europe, and 10% in the Americas. It is worth noticing that the definition of "robot" does not include software (such as AI), autonomous cars, or remote-controlled drones. Looking at the industry, the highest number of robots was installed in the automotive sector and the electronics industry. Regarding the region, the number of robots installed in Germany is important to watch. In the automotive sector it rebounded after a significant drop in 2022 and grew by 7% overall, as more than 28 thousand units of robots were installed in Germany in 2023.
Market movements
Overall, the CEE currencies changed little in week-to-week terms. However, all of the pairs remain at relatively high levels. The CEE bond market showed mixed performance over last week. The long-term yields in the Eurozone countries inched down as the ECB decided to lower interest rates by 25 basis points. In other countries, particularly in Hungary, the long end of the curve shifted up. The main reason behind such development may be an adjustment in expectations regarding monetary easing in Hungary. This week, the central bank holds a rate-setting meeting on Tuesday, and a pause is expected. However, it may prove to be more permanent. In Czechia, Governor Michl called for cautiousness after the statement of another central banker who supported more aggressive monetary easing.
This document is intended as an additional information source, aimed towards our customers. It is based on the best resources available to the authors at press time. The information and data sources utilised are deemed reliable, however, Erste Bank Sparkassen (CR) and affiliates do not take any responsibility for accuracy nor completeness of the information contained herein. This document is neither an offer nor an invitation to buy or sell any securities.
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