LMAX Group Research Desk
LMAX Group
Thursday’s round of hotter US inflation data hasn’t done much to shake things up, with the US Dollar and US equities relatively stable all things considered. We believe this has a lot to do with the fact that the market had already repriced expectations for a less aggressive 25-basis point rate cut from the Fed at the November meeting, given last week’s US jobs report.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD retreats from tops post-US PCE, back near 1.0540
The bearish sentiment in the US Dollar remains in place and supports EUR/USD's constructive outlook, keeping it in the 1.0540 region after the release of US inflation data, as measured by the PCE, on Wednesday.
GBP/USD recedes to 1.2640 on US PCE data
GBP/USD remains positively oriented in the 1.2640 zone as the Greenback experiences a marked pullback following the PCE inflation release.
Gold remains sidelined near $2,640 following US inflation prints
Gold remains on the positive foot near $2,640 per troy ounce, as US inflation data matched initial estimates in October, while US yields display a negative performance across the curve.
The clock is ticking for France
A French political problem is turning into a problem for financial markets. The budget deficit in France is 6% of GDP, if the planned reforms are not enacted, then the deficit could rise to 7% of GDP next year. This is the level when bond vigilantes start to sniff around.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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