Chaos Clinic for 5/29/2020
This chart shows the CME stock, essentially the CME derivatives exchange,over the past 18 years.
Overlaid on the chart is a mathematical power curve I discovered in my research into how markets work. It is based on the square root of a Fibonacci series. It also has a 360 degree cycle scale,which helps determine natural cycles behind the growth. Markets are moved by energy, and energy adds together based on mathematics.
This curve is essentially flat until the 180 degree point, then if rises faster, and faster, and faster. Then it collapses. My best estimate of the cycle involved in this example is about 18 years, close to the cycle of the Moon's node.
Another principle of energy addition is that energy adds harmonically, in circles of 360 degrees. This is clear in CME, where the rally moved up 180 degrees, from 45 to 225 degrees.
The harmonics are also apparent post peak. The first down move was 90 degrees, from 225 to 135. The bounce since then was 45 degrees to 180.
Longer term, these power curves often have a matching declining curve, of about the same duration as the half cycle up in what is a "time domain resonance." That suggests the down move could take about 9.3 years.
Information on this page contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these securities. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0500 as US Dollar wilts ahead of data
EUR/USD holds its ground and trades in positive territory above 1.0500 on Wednesday. Traders cash in on the US Dollar long positions ahead of a series of top-tier US data, lifting the pair. The USD/JPY sell-off also adds to the US Dollar downside.
GBP/USD holds gains near 1.2600, US PCE data eyed
GBP/USD extends the bullish momentum to trade near 1.2600 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The pair benefits from a sustained US Dollar weakness but the risk-off sentiment limits the upside as traders turn cautious ahead of top-tier US data releases.
Gold rises toward $2,650 as traders “buy the fact” following news of Lebanon ceasefire
Gold (XAU/USD) recovers into the $2,650s on Wednesday as traders “buy the fact” of the ceasefire deal brokered between Israel and Hezbollah after “the rumor” led to heavy selling on Monday. Market focus shifts to US data releases.
US core PCE inflation set to hold steady, raising doubts on further Federal Reserve rate cut
The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for October on Wednesday at 15:00 GMT.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.