Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
European and US markets nosedived yesterday on the back of ‘good news is bad news’ and the futures hint at a bearish start to Thursday’s session. Growth on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean came in better than expected, but inflation in the Eurozone ticked higher than expected and gave a positive jolt to the euro. UK budget on the other hand went quite smoothly for the pound. The bad news were countered by the tamed Bank of England (BoE) easing expectations. The BoJ refrained from changing policy today.
For now, the US Dollar remains bid despite yesterday’s weakness, the 2-year yield spiked higher – as the Fed doves scaled back their Federal Reserve (Fed) cut bets. Investors continue to monitor the jobs data... and earnings!
Microsoft and Meta released their Q3 earnings yesterday, after the bell, and the results were good but the forecast and extra spending plans didn’t please, respectively. Apple and Amazon are due to announce earnings after the bell today.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds above 1.0850 after EU inflation data
EUR/USD trades marginally higher on the day above 1.0850 in the European session on Thursday. The data from the Eurozone showed that the annual HICP inflation rose to 2% in October from 1.7% in September, helping the Euro hold its ground.
USD/JPY falls below 152.50 as markets assess BoJ policy decisions
USD/JPY stays under bearish pressure and trades below 152.50 on Thursday. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left its policy setting unchanged but Governor Ueda noted that the impact of foreign exchange rate on prices had become larger than in the past.
Gold holds near $2,780, looks to US PCE Price Index for fresh impetus
Gold stays in a consolidation phase after setting a new record-high of $2,790. US political jitters and Middle East tensions might continue to act as a tailwind for the XAU/USD. Traders keenly await the release of the US PCE Price Index before placing fresh directional bets.
US core PCE inflation set to soften further, paving way for another Federal Reserve interest-rate cut
The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is expected to rise 0.3% MoM and 2.6% YoY in September. Markets expect the Fed to lower the policy rate by 25 basis points at the next policy meeting.
Bank of Japan holds rates steady amid signs of modest GDP growth
Monthly industrial production results have been mixed but generally indicate a modest recovery in third-quarter GDP. Clear guidance from the Bank of Japan remains elusive, with each upcoming meeting being pivotal.
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