Tuesday Forecast
Uptrend scenario
The uptrend may be expected to continue, while market is trading above support level 1929, which will be followed by reaching resistance level 1950 – 1965.
Downtrend scenario
An downtrend will start as soon, as the market drops below support level 1929, which will be followed by moving down to support level 1906.
This/Next Week Forecast (January 4 – 8, 2020)
Uptrend scenario
The uptrend may be expected to continue in case the market rises above resistance level 1906, which will be followed by reaching resistance level 1950.
Downtrend scenario
An downtrend will start as soon, as the market drops below support level 1875, which will be followed by moving down to support level 1850 and if it keeps on moving down below that level, we may expect the market to reach support level 1819.
Previous week gold forecast chart
The Most Important News Of This Week
Monday
EU – Manufacturing PMI
US – Manufacturing PMI
Tuesday
US – ISM Manufacturing PMI
Wednesday
EU – Markit Composite PMI
US – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change, Markit Composite PMI, FOMC Meeting Minutes
Oil – Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday
EU – Core CPI, ECB Monetary Policy Statement
US – Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
Gas – Natural Gas Storage
Friday
EU – Unemployment Rate
US – Nonfarm Payrolls
Fundamental Analysis
Conditions in currency and interest rates sectors showing fair price on the level 1750, but new covid wave and lockdown increase creating uptrend pressure.
Monthly Forecast, January 2021
Uptrend scenario
The uptrend may be expected to continue, while market is trading above support level 1857, which will be followed by reaching resistance level 1950.
Downtrend scenario
An downtrend will start as soon, as the market drops below support level 1957, which will be followed by moving down to support level 1780 and if it keeps on moving down below that level, we may expect the market to reach support level 1680.
Previous forecast
All information provided by Anton Kolhanov is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any trading instrument. Anton Kolhanov is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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