Gold Price Forecast: The XAU/USD record rally appears unabated ahead of Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’


  • Gold price captures $3,100 early Monday, fresh record high and counting.
  • WSJ reports potential higher, broader Trump’s April 2 tariffs, downing the US Dollar, Treasury yields.
  • A pullback could be in the offing for Gold price as the daily RSI stays heavily overbought.

Gold price continues to rally in Asian trading on Monday, marking another record high  well above the $3,100 mark. Gold buyers remain undeterred due to heightened fears of a potential global trade war and its economic repercussions.   

Gold price tops $3,100 for the first time on record

The buying interest in the Gold price remains unabated, with markets scurrying for safety in the traditional store of value amid speculations surrounding US President Donald Trump’s tariffs plans on ‘Liberation Day’, April 2.

The latest Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report highlighted that US President Donald Trump could aim for higher and broader reciprocal tariffs on Wednesday, driving riskier assets into a tailspin while bolstering the ultimate safe-haven Gold price.  

“Advisers have considered imposing global tariffs of up to 20% that would hit virtually all US trading partners,” the WSJ reported.

Markets are dreading the looming risks of a full-fledged global tariff war, which is likely to unfold after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. This could intensify inflationary pressures, leading to stagflation.

Mounting concerns over a potential stagflation in the United States (US) are weighing heavily on the US Dollar (USD) and the US Treasury bond yields, allowing the non-yielding Gold price to clinch fresh record highs.

However, the further upside in the Gold price could be capped if traders opt to cash in on the record rally ahead of Wednesday’s tariffs announcements by Trump.

The US data-docket remains light at the start of the week, leaving the Gold price at the mercy of the broad market sentiment and Trump’s tariff expectations.

Gold price technical analysis: Daily chart

A technical sell in the Gold price also cannot be ruled out as buyers have already achieved the ascending triangle target, measured at $3,080, last Friday.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending in the highly overbought region above 75, warranting caution for buyers.  

If a correction unfolds, the immediate support is seen at the intraday low of $3,077, below which the $3,050 psychological barrier will be tested.

If the selling momentum intensifies, the March 26 low of $3,012 could come to buyers’ rescue.  

Conversely, if buyers retain control, the next target on the topside is seen at the $3,150 threshold.

Fresh buying opportunities would emerge above that level, opening doors for a fresh uptrend toward the $3,200 round figure.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to strong gains near 1.1100 despite upbeat US data

EUR/USD clings to strong gains near 1.1100 despite upbeat US data

EUR/USD trades at its highest level since early October near 1.1100 in the second half of the day on Thursday. Despite the upbeat Jobless Claims data from the US, the US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure as the Trump administration's tariff announcements feed into stagflation fears.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD retreats slightly, holds above 1.3150

GBP/USD retreats slightly, holds above 1.3150

GBP/USD retreats slightly after testing 1.3200 but holds comfortably above 1.3150 in the American session. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand despite the better-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data, as investors grow increasingly worried about an economic downturn on the new trade regime.

GBP/USD News
Gold slumps below $3,100 as correction from record-high picks up steam

Gold slumps below $3,100 as correction from record-high picks up steam

Gold's correction from the all-time peak set at $3,167 deepens after the drop below the $3,100 mark. The precious metal struggles to capitalize on risk-aversion after US President Donald Trump's tariff decisions as investors assess a potentially worsening demand outlook.

Gold News
SOL is the winner as Solana chain turns into battleground for meme coin launchpad and DEX

SOL is the winner as Solana chain turns into battleground for meme coin launchpad and DEX

Solana (SOL) gains nearly 2% in the last 24 hours and trades at 118.28 at the time of writing on Thursday. A Decentralized Exchange (DEX) and a meme coin launchpad built on the Solana blockchain have waged a war for users and compete for the trade volume on the chain. 

Read more
Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs on the way

Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs on the way

United States (US) President Donald Trump’s self-styled “Liberation Day” has finally arrived. After four straight failures to kick off Donald Trump’s “day one” tariffs that were supposed to be implemented when President Trump assumed office 72 days ago, Trump’s team is slated to finally unveil a sweeping, lopsided package of “reciprocal” tariffs. 

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025