|premium|

Gold Price Forecast: Loses steam amid a better market mood

XAUUSD Current price: $1,851.45

  • Stocks are firmly up after US President Biden said he would consider cutting tariffs on China.
  • Inflation and growth-related concerns remain intact in the background.
  • XAUUSD has room to extend its slide once below $1,849.20, an immediate support level.

Spot gold peaked at $1,865.38 a troy ounce on Monday, but the rally lost steam after Wall Street’s open, now trading at around $1,851. The positive tone of equities undermines demand for the safe-haven metal, while the greenback remains out of investors’ radar.

The better market mood is the result of comments from US President Joe Biden, who said to be weighing cutting tariffs on Chinese goods. Under Donald Trump’s administration, tariffs were imposed on several goods, which were estimated to represent nearly $80 billion in tax increases. Biden also called on OPEC to raise oil production in the hopes it would help to cool down inflationary pressures.

Meanwhile, lingering concerns about inflation and growth remain the same. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde came out with some hawkish comments in her appearance at the Davos World Economic Forum, as she hinted at a rate hike as soon as July and rates reaching neutral before year-end.

Gold Price short-term technical outlook

XAUUSD daily chart shows that the latest advance could have been just corrective. Technical indicators recovered from near oversold readings to turn flat within negative levels, indicating decreasing buying interest. Also, the 20 SMA maintains its bearish slope above the current level, providing dynamic resistance.

The near-term picture reflects the dwindling buying interest. In the 4-hour chart, the pair is battling with a bearish 100 SMA after extending gains above it earlier in the day. The 20 SMA heads firmly higher below the current level while technical indicators are retreating sharply from overbought levels. Another leg lower could be expected on a break below $1,849.20, the immediate support level.

Support levels: 1,849.20 1,836.00 1,825.50  

Resistance levels: 1,865.38 1,879.65 1,887.90

View Live Chart for the XAU/USD

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.