-
Gold Spot broke back below support at 1937/34 for a more negative outlook.
-
USDJPY makes the biggest single-day gain since the rally started on 7th March, having risen every day except 2 in 3 weeks. This could be the end of a short squeeze as bears finally throw in the towel. Although there is no sell signal despite severely overbought conditions, I think there is a good chance the pair has seen a high for the bull run at this stage.
-
EURJPY rocketed 350 pips, as far as 137.52, then gave up 200 pips of the gains. Although there is no sell signal despite severely overbought conditions, I think there is a good chance the pair has seen a high for the bull run at this stage.
-
NZDJPY shot higher by 200 pips to hit 8674 but has given up 150 pips of the gains. Perhaps yesterday was a short covering day, meaning the end of the short squeeze & now prices will see a drift lower.
Daily analysis
Gold broke strong support at 1937/34 to turn the outlook negative now. Holding below 1935 targets 1917/15, 1910 & perhaps as far as 1905/03. Further losses retest the March low at 1895/94.
The important longer-term pattern is the huge double top after the March high at 2069 when prices failed to beat the all-time high at 2072. As long as prices stay below 1935/40 the short term outlook is negative (& in the longer-term prices could head significantly lower). Shorts need stops above 1950.
USDJPY runs up another 300 pips in just a morning before giving up almost half of the gains. I think the pair will head lower. Minor support at 123.60/40 but below here can target 123.20/10 & support at 122.70/50. A low for the day is expected but longs need stops below 122.30.
Minor resistance at 124.15/25. Strong resistance at yesterday's high of 125.00/10. A break above 125.30 however can target 125.60/70.
EURJPY has minor support at 135.60/50 but below 135.20 can target better support at 134.50/30. Watch for a low for the day. Longs need stops below 134.10. Minor resistance at 136.25/35. A break above 136.50 can retest yesterday's high at 137.40/52. A break higher can target 137.90/99.
NZDJPY may finally react to severely overbought conditions. Minor support at 8510/8490 but below here can target 8450/40 & better support at 8410/8390. Watch for a low for the day - longs need stops below 8370.
Minor resistance at 8560/70. However if we continue higher we could expect strong resistance at yesterday's high of 8655/75. A break higher however is a buy signal.
The contents of our reports are intended to be understood by professional users who are fully aware of the inherent risks in Forex, Futures, Options, Stocks and Bonds trading. INFORMATION PROVIDED WITHIN THIS MATERIAL SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS ADVICE AND IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATION AND EDUCATION PURPOSES ONLY.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.