|

Gold back to inflection point

Precious metals, stocks, and forex instruments were expected to experience unprecedented volatility, by the end of 2021 and the start of 2022. So far, there have been no surprises or disappointments. Last week, Nasdaq experienced the biggest selloff and then recovered sharply within a day. The same thing happened in gold markets, where prices fell from $1,850 to $1,780 support. The recent drop in gold was not unexpected since it had been well anticipated and managed. It was a clear warning to members and social media about the upcoming drop. Technically, this drop can be viewed as the strong resistance juncture of a symmetrical triangle, as shown in the chart below.

The trading environment for precious metals, particularly gold and silver markets, has been extremely volatile and risky. There has been no direction, and prices are moving in congested areas while waiting for the big decision to be made in the FEB/MAR timeframes. We sold the rally at $1,838.50 and booked profits at $1,783, as shown in the chart below. After profits were taken, gold prices produced a bottom in $1,780 and began to rally from there. This was the first biggest trade of 2022, and it appears that the trading environment will provide some genuine direction in the first quarter of 2022.

Bounce after profit taking

Gold prices have currently hit the edge of a symmetrical triangle at $1,780, where we booked profits, and are now bouncing back towards the congestion zones, as shown in the chart below. This article will go over the upcoming scenarios, pivots, and inflection points to help you make some trading decisions. Due to the strong consolidation, trading activity has been muted.

Edge of Symmetrical Triangle

The dollar recently caught a bid near the bottom of a trading range. In anticipation of the upcoming carnage in the asset markets, the US dollar may experience a “flight to safety.” However, this may only be a short-term flight, and long-term trends remain bearish. 


Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now!

Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Gold Predictors

Muhammad Umair is a financial markets analyst and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets.

More from Muhammad Umair, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.