|

GBP/USD Outlook: Sterling cracked key supports after UK lawmakers rejected Brexit plan again

GBPUSD

Cable collapsed below 1.30 on Friday and cracked key supports (200SMA/bull-channel support trendline and also pressured the top of thick daily cloud) after UK parliament rejected PM May's deal for the third time. Lawmakers voted 344 against vs 286 for the deal, confirming their previous decisions that the plan is not good enough. Cable moved in a roller-coaster on Friday, as optimistic news boosted pound for over 100-pips advance, but rally quickly changed direction after initial optimism started to fade and accelerated to new low on May's repeated defeat. According to the already known information, the Britain will leave the EU on 12 April, however, the government is expected work on alternative scenarios and possibly bring plan B that will need consensus at home and then to persuade EU members to approve longer extension. UK government will try to buy some time to find workable solution in order to avoid disastrous 12 April no-deal Brexit scenario. Today's attack at 200SMA could generate strong bearish signal on weekly close below, as the moving average kept the downside protected since 19 Feb. Sterling could spiral lower on sustained break as this will also signal break out of bull-channel (uptrend from 2018 low at 1.2476) that would imply the change of the trend. Soured sentiment of Rejection of Brexit plan would add to negative outlook.

Res: 1.3070; 1.3135; 1.3153; 1.3162
Sup: 1.2980; 1.2968; 1.2960; 1.2923

GBPUSD

Interested in GBPUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.3346
    2. R2 1.3281
    3. R1 1.3164
  1. PP 1.31
    1. S1 1.2983
    2. S2 1.2918
    3. S3 1.2801

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3450 ahead of UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground above 1.3450 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after a bigger-than-expected increase in the UK Retail Sales for January. However, the further upside appears limited in the pair amid persistent US Dollar strength and ahead of key UK and US data. 

Gold rises for third day on geopolitical risks, US data eyed

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. The upside potential, however, seems limited amid the mixed fundamental backdrop. Moreover, traders might opt to wait for the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – before placing fresh directional bets.

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.