Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
GBP/USD
Cable pulled back from new two-month high, posted after Thursday’s nearly 1.9% advance (the biggest daily gain in one year, deflated by stronger than expected drop in UK inflation last month and better than expected US retail sales, which counter the fresh signals that the Fed may start cutting interest rates in early Q2 2024.
The price fell back into daily Ichimoku cloud (cloud top lays at 1.2439, reinforced by 200DMA) with daily close below here to weaken near-term structure and risk deeper pullback.
Fading bullish momentum on daily chart and stochastic hitting the borderline of overbought territory, add to initial negative signals, which still require confirmation.
Immediate support lays at 1.2395 (Fibo 23.6% of 1.2037/1.2505 rally) which guards lower pivots at 1.2345 (daily Tenkan-sen) and 1.2326 (Fibo 38.2%).
Caution on bounce and repeated close above the top of daily cloud, which would signal a limited correction and keep larger bulls intact.
Res: 1.2439; 1.2459; 1.2505; 1.2547
Sup: 1.2395; 1.2345; 1.2326; 1.2287
Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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