|premium|

GBP/USD Forecast: Progress in Brexit talks could push it beyond 1.3000

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2978

  • The UK and the EU kick-started two weeks of intense talks about a trade deal.
  • UK economic progress continued in September, according to Markit.
  • GBP/USD is holding on to gains near the critical 1.30 threshold.

The GBP/USD pair traded as high as 1.2991, underpinned by the ruling upbeat mood. The pair not only found support in rallying equities but also in mounting hopes for a breakthrough in Brexit talks. Despite the EU and the UK remaining far apart in some critical issues, UK PM Johnson and EU Commission leader, Ursula von der Leyen had agreed to extend negotiations until October 31, a sign that none of them favors a no-deal exit. Two weeks of intense talks began this Monday.

Earlier in the day, Markit published the final version of the UK Markit Services PMI, which resulted in September at 56.1, better than the previous 55.  On Tuesday, Markit will publish the UK September Construction PMI foreseen at 54.1 from 54.6 previously.

GBP/USD short-term technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair holds on to daily gains ahead of the Asian opening trading in the 1.2970 price zone. The 4-hour chart shows that the Momentum indicator eased, but that the RSI indicator holds steady around 61, reflecting the latest range rather than suggesting an upcoming decline. In the mentioned chart, a bullish 20 SMA provided intraday support, currently in the 1.2920 price zone.

Support levels: 1.2925 1.2870 1.2815

Resistance levels: 1.3010 1.3050 1.3085

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.