GBP/USD Forecast: Pound fails to break out of range as investors look for next catalyst


  • British pound has staged a modest recovery after posting small losses on Wednesday.
  • Greenback has shaken off the bearish pressure on hawkish Fed commentary.
  • Technical outlook suggests that the pair is likely to stay neutral in the near term.

GBP/USD has started to edge higher after closing the previous three trading days in the negative territory but could find it hard to gather momentum in the absence of fundamental drivers and high-tier macroeconomic data releases.

On Wednesday, the greenback managed to hold its footing despite falling US Treasury bond yields. Hawkish comments from Fed officials helped the dollar find demand. FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell repeated that it was appropriate to consider a faster taper. On a similar note, "a quicker taper gives the Fed room to hike earlier if needed," said Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester.

Later in the day, the US Department of Labor's weekly Initial Jobless Claims data is likely to be ignored by market participants ahead of Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report.

On the other hand, the British pound clings to modest recovery gains but the currency's upside is likely to remain capped as investors reassess the possibility of the Bank of England (BoE) opting for a smaller-than-20 basis points hike in December. 

In the meantime, Brexit talks are expected to drag into the new year and it would be surprising to see a Brexit-related headline that could impact the market sentiment. For the time being, the pair could continue to fluctuate within technical levels.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the four hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is staying near 50, reflecting the pair's indecisiveness in the near term. 

On the downside, static support seems to have formed at 1.3280. As long as buyers continue to defend this level, additional gains could be witnessed with a break above 1.3340 (50-period SMA). 1.3380 (100-period) aligns as the next target.

Below 1.3280, supports are located at 1.3240 (static level) and 1.3195 (November 30 low).

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading

EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550

GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.

GBP/USD News
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook

Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.

Gold News
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit

In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.

Read more
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures