|

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bullish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Position: Gray Wave 1.

  • Next lower degree direction: Navy Blue Wave 2.

  • Wave invalidation level: 1.21028.

Details:

The daily Elliott Wave analysis for GBPUSD explores the market's current bullish phase. This trend is driven by impulsive waves, indicating strong directional price action. At present, the structure under examination is Navy Blue Wave 1, which lies within Gray Wave 1, forming part of a broader wave sequence.

The market is actively progressing through Navy Blue Wave 1. This wave is expected to develop with momentum until a shift into Navy Blue Wave 2 occurs. A key technical level to monitor is 1.21028. If GBPUSD drops below this level, the existing wave count becomes invalid, signaling a possible change in the market's underlying structure.

Trading Outlook:

Traders are encouraged to track the progress of Navy Blue Wave 1 closely and remain alert for signs indicating the emergence of Navy Blue Wave 2. This phase shift could present new opportunities or necessitate adjustments in trading strategies.

This analysis emphasizes the value of identifying wave positions and invalidation levels to stay aligned with market direction. By studying the wave dynamics on the daily timeframe, traders can gain a broader understanding of long-term trends and potential reversal zones.

Wave pattern recognition and critical price level monitoring are essential tools in navigating market transitions effectively. With this framework, traders can enhance their decision-making and better prepare for future price developments.

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Corrective.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 4.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Next lower degree direction: Orange Wave 5.

  • Wave invalidation level: 1.25221.

Details:

This 4-hour Elliott Wave analysis of GBPUSD focuses on the pair's short-term structure and movement. The current market behavior reflects a corrective phase rather than a strong directional trend. At this stage, Orange Wave 4 is developing within the broader context of Navy Blue Wave 1.

The analysis suggests that Orange Wave 3 has completed, and Orange Wave 4 of 3 is now unfolding. As a corrective wave, this movement is expected to be more sideways or involve retracements rather than a sharp directional push. Following the completion of Wave 4, attention should shift to Orange Wave 5, which will resume the broader impulsive trend.

The critical invalidation level for this current wave structure is 1.25221. If GBPUSD moves above this level, the wave count becomes invalid and would need a reassessment of the market structure.

Trading outlook:

Traders should closely monitor the behavior of Orange Wave 4 for potential setups as the market prepares to transition into Orange Wave 5. Understanding the completion point of one wave and anticipating the next is crucial for timely and accurate trading decisions.

This short-term perspective offers actionable insights by examining the 4-hour chart, which allows traders to adjust strategies for more immediate trends and pivot points. Recognizing wave patterns and critical levels remains key to managing trades effectively during this corrective phase.

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

GBP/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).