Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
GBP/JPY
GBPJPY remains in an unobstructed uptrend and hit new multi-year high (the highest since 2008) in early Monday.
The cross extends steep ascend into eleventh straight day, after registering the sixth consecutive monthly gain in June.
Yen weakened further against all major currencies on dovish BoJ and despite looming intervention after Japanese authorities signaled readiness to intervene to support falling currency.
The price has established above psychological 200 mark (also near Fibo 61.8% retracement of 251.08/116.95 2007/2011 downtrend), following the second monthly close above this level.
Bulls eye targets at 205.62 and 206.45 (Fibo 238.2% and 261.8% projections of the upleg from 197.20 higher low) which guard 210 round-figure barrier, ignoring for now intervention threats.
However, strongly overbought conditions on daily chart, signal that bulls may take a breather in coming sessions.
Rising 10DMA (202.32) offers solid support, which should ideally contain dips and keep intact lower pivots at 201.00/200.00 (20DMA /psychological).
On the other hand, the pair would accelerate lower in case Japanese authorities decide to intervene.
Res: 204.27; 205.62; 206.45; 207.80.
Sup: 203.17; 202.32; 201.00; 200.00.
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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