GBPJPY Elliott Wave Analysis Trading Lounge.

British Pound/Japanese Yen (GBPJPY).

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Counter Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Position: Gray wave C.

  • Next higher degree direction: Navy Blue Wave 2.

Details:

  • The analysis indicates that gray wave B appears completed, with navy blue wave 1 of gray wave C now in motion.

  • Invalidation Level: 199.634.

Analysis summary

This analysis examines the GBPJPY currency pair using the Elliott Wave theory on a daily chart, identifying a counter-trend movement. The current mode is impulsive, signaling strong directional activity within a broader corrective structure.

Key points:

  • The primary focus is navy blue wave 1, initiated after the completion of gray wave B, marking a new phase in the corrective pattern.

  • The market is positioned within gray wave C, a corrective wave within the larger structure.

  • The next anticipated development is navy blue wave 2, a corrective phase expected after the impulsive move of wave 1.

Critical benchmark for validation

The analysis specifies an invalidation level of 199.634. If the price reaches or exceeds this level, the current wave count and outlook will be invalidated. This serves as a key reference for managing risk and validating trends.

Conclusion

The Elliott Wave analysis suggests GBPJPY is currently in a counter-trend phase. Navy blue wave 1 within gray wave C is unfolding, initiated by the completion of gray wave B. The trend remains valid as long as the price stays below the invalidation level of 199.634. Traders can anticipate continued movement within this counter-trend structure, followed by the corrective navy blue wave 2.

Chart

British Pound/Japanese Yen (GBPJPY).

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bearish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Next Higher Degree Direction: Orange wave 4.

Details:

  • Orange wave 2 appears completed, and orange wave 3 is now unfolding.

  • Invalidation Level: 197.847

Analysis summary

This analysis evaluates the GBPJPY currency pair using Elliott Wave theory on a 4-hour chart, identifying a bearish trend. The impulsive mode reflects strong downward momentum within the broader structure.

Key highlights:

  • The primary focus is orange wave 3, initiated after the completion of orange wave 2, marking the start of a prolonged bearish phase.

  • The market is currently in navy blue wave 1, the early stage of the downward movement within orange wave 3.

  • The next anticipated move is orange wave 4, a corrective wave expected after orange wave 3 completes.

Critical benchmark for validation

An invalidation level of 197.847 is specified. If the price rises to this level, the current wave count and analysis will be invalidated. This benchmark is crucial for risk management and trend confirmation.

Conclusion

The Elliott Wave analysis suggests GBPJPY is in a bearish phase, with orange wave 3 actively progressing. The completion of orange wave 2 confirms the beginning of this trend, supported by the impulsive nature of the current movement. As long as the price remains below the invalidation level of 197.847, the bearish outlook is maintained. Traders can expect continued downward momentum before transitioning to the corrective phase, orange wave 4.

Chart

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.

Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.

The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0450 German sentiment data

EUR/USD holds above 1.0450 German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0450 after retracing a portion of its bullish opening gap. The data from Germany showed that the IFO - Current Assessment Index declined to 84.3 in November from 85.7, while the Expectations Index edged lower to 87.2 from 87.3.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD pulls back toward 1.2550 as US Dollar sell-off pauses

GBP/USD pulls back toward 1.2550 as US Dollar sell-off pauses

GBP/USD is falling back toward 1.2550 in the European session on Monday after opening with a bullish gap at the start of a new week. A pause in the US Dollar decline alongside the US Treasury bond yields weighs down on the pair. Speeches from BoE policymakers are eyed. 

GBP/USD News
Gold price manages to hold above $2,650 amid sliding US bond yields

Gold price manages to hold above $2,650 amid sliding US bond yields

Gold price maintains its heavily offered tone through the early European session on Monday, albeit manages to hold above the $2,650 level and defend the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary clears a major point of uncertainty for markets.

Gold News
Bitcoin consolidates after a new all-time high of $99,500

Bitcoin consolidates after a new all-time high of $99,500

Bitcoin remains strong above $97,700 after reaching a record high of $99,588. At the same time, Ethereum edges closer to breaking its weekly resistance, signaling potential gains. Ripple holds steady at a critical support level, hinting at continued upward momentum.

Read more
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures