|

FX Weekly: EUR/USD Versus USD/JPY drives currency markets

By April 2019, a total of 572 articles were published on Fxstreet. A full 3 years later, 572 must be in the vicinity 0f 800 and 1000 articles. To post 1 article per week for 10 years equates to 480.

The vast majority were trades and trade related / in depth information such as Correlations, interest rates, money supplies, moving averages. Trades always accompanied analysis to understand the trades.

Target trading was a standard since 2012 and continues to this day. Target trades were short and long term. Many long term trades for 6 and 8 week durations hit targets perfectly for 5, 7 and 1000 pips and all published prior to the trade.

Profit pips from published trades must be in the 100,000 vicinity easily. For 5 months of 2019, weekly trades profited 24,000 pips alone.

Trades and targets weren't contained to G28 and EM currencies but targets achieved for long term trades on Yields, interest rates, WTI, SPX and Gold. Trades still factor by pen, paper and calculator. The difference today is calculations are easier due to upgrades from days past. I liked trading USD/CLP and Copper and achieved targets for both. The same may be accomplished with USD/MXN and Silver as Banxico changed the relationship to MXN and Tiie interest rates to slow MXN price speeds in accordance with Silver.

Forecasted correctly in years past were NFP's, GDP and many economic announcements. No difference today as banks and forecasters still can't be trusted. Last GDP forecast for example predicted correctly and beat the Atlanta Fed Nowcast. Jackson Hole 2017, the 2 year yield traded at 1.32 and today 3.38 or 2.06 point difference in 5 years. The walk down memory journey was quite astounding as the best of research, features and trades were brought to FxStreet readers. All freely given and found at btwomey.com.

The Week

EUR/NZD target last week at 1.6258 traded to 1.6253 on Friday. Then short target at 1.6184 traded to 1.6213.

NZD/JPY target at 84.25 traded to 84.24 Friday.

Trade Raking EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, EUR/CAD, AUD/JPY, EUR/AUD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/CHF, NZD/CHF, CAD/CHF, CAD/JPY, EUR/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/NZD.

Not much difference from last week as EUR/JPY relegates back to last due to its position. Currency markets are defined as EUR/USD Vs USD/JPY. Best trade for CHF are NZD/CHF, GBP/CHF and EUR/CHF. Oversold EUR/USD is contained from 0.9999 to 0.9853. Above 0.9999 targets easily 1.0072.

USD/JPY and JPY cross pair strategy remains short to target USD/JPY 136.26 to start.

EUR/USD cross pairs are outperforming GBP cross pairs week to week and this week will see the same performance. EUR/NZD for example will outperform GBP/NZD as occurred last week.

GBP Trade Rankings

GBP/USD, GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, GBP/CHF, GBP/NZD, GBP/JPY . GBP/JPY for the 2nd week sits n last position while GBP/USD, GBP/CHF, GBP/CAD and GBP/AUD trade oversold. Not looking for much performance to GBP/NZD this week.

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

More from Brian Twomey
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).