|

Forex trading short on AUD/CAD, US indices in consolidation over political uncertainty [Video]

We talked last time about buying the dip on US stock indices but we still don’t have enough confirmation to open a long position.

It seems that corporate America is heading into a period of uncertainty.

Political instability causes uncertainty and uncertainty is actually worse than bad news when it comes to decision making.

Therefore, we may not see much movement until November when the US elections take place.

Technically, a long position may not be advisable right now.

We have been range-trading AUDUSD for a few weeks now and we see no reason to stop.

However, the range seems to be getting tighter.

If we use Bollinger Bands, we can watch for a Bollinger Squeeze.

Here we see one which was followed by a sudden dramatic move.

AUDCAD has also given us opportunities but we now see price action starting to consolidate into a symmetrical pennant.

If we want to open a short position, we need to see some technical confirmation.

Right now the stochastic oscillator is undecided and we need to confirm direction first.

Right now, AUD and CAD are pretty much tied as the strongest currencies.

This may change if we see a downturn in the price of WTI Crude Oil which has pulled back from its May/June high.

If we fall from the high of almost $82 per barrel, CAD should fall as well.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products and your capital may be at risk.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles aroound 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony fails to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD drops toward 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD falls back toward 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday, snapping its recovery momentum. The pair loses traction as the US Dollar finds fresh demand, as markets turn cautious ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks. The US trade policy uncertainty also remains a drag on risk sentiment. 

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets. 

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.