The market is on edge, and we’re just hours away from the much-anticipated Fed announcement. It feels like we’re in the formation lap of a Formula One race—markets are poised, coiled, and ready across multiple currency pairs, a rare setup I haven’t seen in a while. The big question is: Will the Fed cut rates, and by how much?

As we approach the announcement, the decision is whether to jump in now or wait for the volatility to settle. It’s a bit like navigating that risky first lap in a race where anything can happen. Sometimes it's better to wait until the dust settles to make a clearer move.

The US Dollar Index is crucial right now. It’s hovering at a key support level, the same level we’ve seen it bounce from several times over the last 6 to 12 months. If the Fed only cuts rates by 25 basis points, could we see another bounce? On the flip side, a larger cut or hawkish comments from the Fed might break this support and open the door to further US dollar weakness.

I’m also watching other pairs like the EUR/USD, which mirrors the US dollar’s moves. It's retracing into a key resistance zone, a great spot for potential trades. Similarly, the NZD/USD looks poised for action, especially with New Zealand’s GDP data looming, potentially signaling a recession.

The market is at critical levels. Do we take a position now or wait for volatility to pass? These are the decisions traders face today.

For more insights, check out Duncan Cooper’s live analysis, where he’s diving into these levels in real time. Stay sharp and good luck as we navigate through this volatile period with the US rate cuts on the horizon.

 

RISK WARNING: Foreign exchange and derivatives trading carry a high level of risk. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, we encourage you to consider your investment objectives, your risk tolerance and trading experience. It is possible to lose more than your initial investment, so do not invest money you cannot afford to lose。 ACY Securities Pty Ltd (ABN: 80 150 565 781 AFSL: 403863) provides general advice that does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice; please seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. The FSG and PDS are available upon request or registration. If there is any advice on this site, it is general advice only. ACY Securities Pty Ltd (“ACY AU”) is authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC AFSL:403863). Registered address: Level 18, 799 Pacific Hwy, Chatswood NSW 2067. AFSL is authorised us to provide our services to Australian Residents or Businesses.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD depreciates due to market caution ahead of US NFP

AUD/USD depreciates due to market caution ahead of US NFP

The Australian Dollar remains subdued against the US Dollar for the second consecutive day on Friday. The AUD/USD pair faces modest headwinds as the USD steadies ahead of the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report in the North American session.

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY: Japanese Yen stands firm near a multi-month high against a broadly weaker USD

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen stands firm near a multi-month high against a broadly weaker USD

The Japanese Yen continues to be underpinned by increasing bets for more BoJ rate hikes. Trade tariff jitters and the risk-off mood further seem to underpin demand for the safe-haven JPY. Expectations for further policy easing by the Fed weigh on the USD and the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY News
Gold price remains depressed ahead of US NFP; trade jitters to limit losses

Gold price remains depressed ahead of US NFP; trade jitters to limit losses

Gold price trades with negative bias for the second straight day, though a combination of factors continues to act as a tailwind ahead of the crucial US NFP report later this Friday. Rising trade tensions continue to weigh on investors' sentiment.

Gold News
Crypto AI Tokens: Why FET, NEAR and RNDR could outperform BTC after White House Summit

Crypto AI Tokens: Why FET, NEAR and RNDR could outperform BTC after White House Summit

The White House Crypto Summit is scheduled to hold on Friday. Rather than double-down on BTC, sector-wide price trends show that investors are leaning towards Crypto AI altcoins. 

Read more
Make Europe great again? Germany’s fiscal shift is redefining the European investment playbook

Make Europe great again? Germany’s fiscal shift is redefining the European investment playbook

For years, Europe has been synonymous with slow growth, fiscal austerity, and an overreliance on monetary policy to keep its economic engine running. But a major shift is now underway. Germany, long the poster child of fiscal discipline, is cracking open the purse strings, and the ripple effects could be huge.

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025