|

Euro slips as Eurozone PMIs dip, US PMIs next

The euro has started the trading week with considerable losses. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1103 in the European session at the time of writing, down 0.50% on the day. Later today, we’ll get a look at US services and manufacturing PMIs.

Eurozone and German PMIs disappoint

The August PMIs for services and manufacturing were a disappointment, as they decelerated in September and missed the estimates.

The manufacturing sector remains mired in contraction. The eurozone manufacturing PMI fell to 44.8, below the August reading of 45.8 and the market estimate of 45.6 and was the sharpest decline this year. Germany, the largest economy in the bloc, saw manufacturing fall to 40.3, below the August reading of 42.4 and the market estimate of 42.3. This marked the weakest level in a year. The 50 line separates expansion from contraction.

The services sector is looking a bit better, but also eased in September. The eurozone services PMI fell to 50.5, down from 52.9 in August and shy of the market estimate of 52.1. This was the weakest reading since February and indicates marginal expansion. It was a similar story in Germany, as the PMI reading of 50.6 was below the August read of 51.2 and the market estimate of 51.0.

The weak data has sent the euro lower today and will support the case for lower interest rates. The European Central Bank has shifted gears and has embarked on rate-cutting cycle with a cut in June and a second cut earlier this month. Inflation is within striking distance of the ECB’s 2% inflation target and the current goal is to kick-start the weak economy and avert a recession.

EUR/USD technical

  • EUR/USD has pushed below support at 1.1141 and tested support at 1.1094 earlier..

  • There is resistance at 1.1212 and 1.1259.

Chart

Author

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

MarketPulse

A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities.

More from Kenny Fisher
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates around 1.0900, bullish bias remains ahead of key US data

The EUR/USD pair is seen consolidating its strong gains registered over the past two days and oscillating in a narrow band during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1900 mark, just below an over one-week high touched the previous day.

GBP/USD edges lower below 1.3700 on UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

The GBP/USD pair trades on a weaker note around 1.3685 during the European session on Tuesday. The Pound Sterling edges lower against the US Dollar amid political risk in the United Kingdom and rising expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts. 

Gold: Will US Retail Sales data propel it above $5,100?

Gold hovers below weekly highs of $5,087 early Tuesday, await US Retail Sales data. The US Dollar enters a downside consolidation phase amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and worsening labor market. Gold settled Monday above $5,000, now looks to take out $5,100 amid bullish daily RSI.

Top Crypto Gainers: World Liberty Financial, MemeCore and Quant gain momentum

World Liberty Financial, MemeCore, and Quant are leading gains over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market stabilizes after last week’s correction. Still, the technical outlook for altcoins remains mixed due to prevailing downside pressure and vulnerable market sentiment. 

Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you

Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.