Euro sinks as investors position themselves for higher European tariffs, security risks and reshoring


The euro was the worst performing currency in the G10 on election night. The common currency quickly sank towards the 1.07 level as it became increasingly clear that Trump had once again outperformed the polls, although it has managed to find somewhat of a foothold around the 1.075 level.

Investors are positioning themselves for higher European tariffs on the one hand and increased European security risks and reshoring on the other.

As mentioned, we think that the sell-off in risk assets was somewhat smaller than many had feared - Goldman Sachs had flirted with the idea of parity in EUR/USD under a GOP clean sweep.

But we still have a while to go until Trump takes office, and any communications from the president-elect between now and then, particularly one that doubles down on his tariff plans, could see some fresh downside in the common currency.

The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD languishes near multi-year lows below 0.6250 after dovish RBA Minutes

AUD/USD languishes near multi-year lows below 0.6250 after dovish RBA Minutes

AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.6250 early Tuesday after the December RBA Minutes reiterated that upside inflation risks had diminished, which reaffirms bets for a rate cut in early 2025. This, along with concerns about China's fragile economic recovery and US-China trade war, undermines the Aussie and weighs on the pair.

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY eases toward 157.00 after Japanese verbal intervention

USD/JPY eases toward 157.00 after Japanese verbal intervention

USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure, easing toward 157.00 after Japanese Finance Minister Kato's verbal intervention. The pair erased early gains, induced by the October BoJ meeting Minutes. However, the downside could be limited as the US Dollar hold the previous rebound. 

USD/JPY News
Gold remains stuck between two key barriers amid thin trading

Gold remains stuck between two key barriers amid thin trading

Gold price is attempting another run higher while defending the $2,600 threshold early Tuesday. In doing so, Gold price replicates the recovery moves seen in Monday’s trading, which eventually fizzled out on a broad US Dollar comeback in tandem with US Treasury bond yields.  

Gold News
Solana dominates Bitcoin, Ethereum in price performance and trading volume: Glassnode

Solana dominates Bitcoin, Ethereum in price performance and trading volume: Glassnode

Solana is up 6% on Monday following a Glassnode report indicating that SOL has seen more capital increase than Bitcoin and Ethereum. Despite the large gains suggesting a relatively heated market, SOL could still stretch its growth before establishing a top for the cycle.

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures