EURUSD remains poised around 1.0878 as markets brace for the outcome of the highly anticipated US presidential election. With the world watching, the direction of the major currency pair will hinge significantly on the election results, where a victory for Donald Trump is likely to bolster the USD, potentially leading to a notable increase. Conversely, a win for Kamala Harris could see the USD decline by an average of 1-2%.
The impending volatility is not solely due to the election but amplified by the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for Wednesday. The Fed is anticipated to cut interest rates slightly by 25 basis points. Market participants are keenly awaiting any forward guidance from the Fed, particularly with expectations leaning towards another rate reduction in December.
While significant economic data releases are also expected, these pivotal events may overshadow their impact.
Technical analysis of EUR/USD
The EURUSD market has completed a growth structure reaching 1.0913, considered part of a third growth wave targeting 1.0950. After this target is achieved, a retraction to 1.0860 is anticipated, potentially forming a broad consolidation range around this level. Technical indicators, such as the MACD, suggest an upward trajectory, reinforcing the possibility of reaching 1.0960 before a corrective pullback to 1.0860.
Support at 1.0872 has spurred the development of a growth impulse towards 1.0900, which is expected to be tested soon. Breaching this level could extend the growth wave towards 1.0950. The Stochastic oscillator supports this short-term forecast, indicating upward momentum with its signal line targeting the upper echelons around 80.
Before you enter foreign exchange and stock markets, you have to remember that trading currencies and other investment products is trading in nature and always involves a considerable risk. As a result of various financial fluctuations, you may not only significantly increase your capital, but also lose it completely. Therefore, our clients have to assure RoboForex that they understand all the possible consequences of such risks, they know all the specifics, rules and regulations governing the use of investment products, including corporate events, resulting in the change of underlying assets. Client understands that there are special risks and features that affect prices, exchange rates and investment products.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading
EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550
GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook
Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit
In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.