|

EUR/USD: Room for further losses for the Euro as it is already approaching 1.0450 level

The single European currency is one breath away from the level of 1,0450 as it remains under mild pressure in the wake of yesterday's meeting of the European Central Bank where the decision to cut key interest rates by 25 basis points was fully expected.

With no major surprises, the speech by President Christine Lagarde followed, confirming the central bank's inflation targets but also keeping concerns about the course of the European economy high on the agenda.

Without any catalyst on the table the European currency was unable to maintain any reaction behavior for long, now falling well below the 1,05 level.

The return of yields on US government debt to higher prices also supported the US currency, with the 10-year yield once again exceeding the 4.3 level.

Geopolitical risks remain high on the agenda, despite the small hopes that may arise from the presidency of Donald Trump, especially on the Ukrainian front, who has categorically declared his intention to end this war.

Investor interest is slowly shifting to the next Fed meeting. Without any major surprises, the interest rate gap will remain clearly in favor of the US currency and makes it difficult European currency's efforts to develop any upward momentum.

Today's agenda, while not being indifferent, does not include any high-grade news, with the result that interest is focused on the yields of US debt securities and the probability that the 1.04 level will be challenged may be small for today.

There is no changes in my thinking. I remain on hold, expecting a further fall in the European currency well below 1,04 level in order to consider the possibility of buying the euro.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.