Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
EUR/USD
EURUSD continues to trend higher, with minimal negative impact from hotter than expected US PPI data (Jun 0.2% m/m vs 0.1% f/c and 0.0% in May).
The latest bull-leg extends into third straight and day pressuring Thursday’s post US CPI spike high (1.0898) which guards pivotal barriers at 1.0919 (Jun 4), 1.0981 (Mar 8) and 1.10 (psychological).
The pair is also on track for the third consecutive weekly gain, with expectations for further upside, should fundamentals remain favorable.
Broken Fibo 76.4% barrier (1.0857) offers initial support, followed by more significant daily cloud top (1.0835)
Res: 1.0900; 1.0919; 1.0981; 1.1000.
Sup: 1.0857; 1.0835; 1.0821; 1.0800.
Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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