EUR/USD outlook: Bullish bias above 1.0800, all eyes on German debt vote on Tuesday

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

EUR/USD

The Euro holds in extended consolidation under new 5-month high, following strong rally in past two weeks.

Technical picture remains bullish on daily chart, though overbought RSI and fading bullish momentum, keep in play risk of deeper pullback.

Near-term action should remain biased higher while the price stays above broken pivotal barriers, now acting as solid supports at 1.0820/00 zone (10DMA / Fibo 61.8% of 1.1214/1.0177 / round figure) and keep in focus targets at 1.0969/1.1000 (Fibo 76.4% / psychological).

Weaker dollar and supportive fundamentals played the key role in the latest rally, with focus on German vote for historical changes to borrowing rules which would allow the plan for massive increase in state borrowing for Euro 500 billion for defense and boost of economic growth.

Res: 1.0947; 1.0969; 1.1000; 1.1024.
Sup: 1.0868; 1.0820; 1.0800; 1.0726.

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.0999
2. R2 1.0956
3. R1 1.0917
PP 1.0874
1. S1 1.0835
2. S2 1.0792
3. S3 1.0753

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD looks sidelined below 1.1600

EUR/USD remains on the back foot in the latter part of the NA session on Thursday, now attempting a consolidative theme in the sub-1.1600 region. A more cautious market mood, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East, together with broad-based strength in the US Dollar, is favouring the continuation of the leg lower in spot.

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold weekly gains despite US-Iran war

The cryptocurrency market is gaining strength on Thursday, building on Wednesday's upswing, which saw Bitcoin reach a weekly high above $74,000. Ethereum and Ripple are moderating their recent gains amid uncertainty stemming from the escalating war in the Middle East.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.