Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
EUR/USD
EURUSD weakened on Friday after recovery attempts from new multi-month low (1.0682), hit after Wednesday’s post-election 1.7% fall (the biggest daily loss since 19 Mar 2020), failed to clear daily Tenkan-sen (1.0809).
Formation of bull-trap pattern on daily chart adds to weak near term outlook as Wednesday’s massive bearish daily candle weighs heavily, technical studies remain in full bearish setup and converging weekly Tenkan/Kijun-sen are about to form bear-cross.
However, bears continue to face headwinds from a false break of Fibo support at 1.0745 (76.4% retracement of 1.0601/1.1214 ascend) with weekly close above this level to add to signals that bears are likely to consolidate before resuming the larger downtrend.
Long shadows on weekly candlestick contribute to scenario.
Near-term bias to remain with bears while daily Tenkan-sen caps, with potential extended upticks to be capped under pivotal 200DMA barrier (1.0868).
Res: 1.0835; 1.0848; 1.0869; 1.0907.
Sup: 1.0761; 1.0745; 1.0700; 1.0682.
Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD remains pressured below 1.0800 on renewed USD strength
EUR/USD stays under pressure and declines toward 1.0750 following Thursday's recovery. A renewed US Dollar uptick and a cautious mood weigh on the pair, as traders digest the Trump win and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcements.
GBP/USD holds lower ground near 1.2950 amid tepid risk sentiment
GBP/USD trades in negative territory at around 1.2950 in the second half of the day on Friday. The emergence of dip-buying in the US Dollar and a tepid risk tone undermine the pair. The BoE’s cautious rate cut could check the pair's downside as traders comments from central bankers.
Gold fluctuates below $2,700 amid stronger USD, positive risk tone
Gold trades below $2,700 in the early American session on Friday and is pressured by a combination of factors. Hopes that Trump's policies would spur economic growth and inflation, to a larger extent, overshadow the Fed's dovish outlook, which, in turn, helps revive the USD demand.
Bitcoin touches new all-time high near $77,000 following Fed rate cut
Bitcoin price rallied and reached a new all-time high of $76,849 following the US Federal Reserve’s 25 basis point rate cut. Ethereum and Ripple followed suit and closed above their key resistance levels, hinting at a possible rally ahead.
Outlook for the markets under Trump 2.0
On November 5, the United States held presidential elections. Republican and former president Donald Trump won the elections surprisingly clearly. The Electoral College, which in fact elects the president, will meet on December 17, while the inauguration is scheduled for January 20, 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.