|

EUR/USD Forecast: Nearing a critical resistance area

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.2153

The February German IFO survey on Business Climate beat the market’s expectations.

US Treasury yields reached fresh one-year highs ahead of the opening.

EUR/USD turned bullish in the near-term but remains below the 1.2170/80 price zone.

The EUR/USD pair is up this Monday, now trading a few pips above Friday’s high at 1.2144. Major pairs are trapped between the scarce dollar’s demand, falling equities and soaring government debt yields. The greenback seesaws between gains and losses alongside Treasury yields, which soared in pre-opening trading to fresh one-year highs.

Data wise, Germany published the February IFO Business Climate, which improved to 92.4 from a revised 90.3, as expectations and the assessment of the current situation improved by more than anticipated. The US released the January Chicago Fed National Activity Index, which improved to 0.66 from 0.41, beating the market’s forecast. The country will publish later today the February Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index.  

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair is bullish in the near-term but approaching the critical 1.2170/80 resistance area, as the pair has been unable to break above it for over a month already. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair accelerates north, surpassing a bearish 200 SMA, while technical indicators resumed their advances within positive levels, supporting additional gains ahead.

Support levels: 1.2100 1.2060 1.2015  

Resistance levels: 1.2180 1.2215 1.2250

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.