- The US Dollar loses momentum during the American session as risk sentiment improves.
- The Euro lags on Monday, with German yields tumbling.
- The EUR/USD has potential for further gains as long as it remains above 1.0530.
The EUR/USD rose during the American session but held below Friday's close. The weakness of the US Dollar was not sufficient to push the pair above 1.0600, and the Euro underperformed, being the weakest among G10 currencies on Monday.
New geopolitical concerns weighed particularly on the Euro, which declined against other major currencies. The 10-year German bond yield dropped more than 4.50% to 2.76%. EUR/CHF slid towards 0.9550, and EUR/GBP fell below 0.8640.
Data showed that German Industrial Production declined by 0.2% in August, worse than the expected 0.1% decrease. The Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence also dropped in October to -21.9, higher than the market consensus of -25. On Tuesday, there are no significant reports scheduled for release in either the Eurozone or the US. The key number of the week will be the US Consumer Price Index on Thursday.
The US dollar strengthened across the board during the American session, benefiting from an improvement in risk sentiment following the initial market opening after Hamas' attack in Israel. The US Dollar Index (DXY) peaked at 106.60 but then pulled back to 106.00, ending with modest losses due to a decline in US bond yields.
EUR/USD short-term technical outlook
-638324784253429288.png)
The EUR/USD remains below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and within a downtrend channel. However, in the short term, the Euro shows signs of stabilization that could lead to a test of key resistance levels.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is above the 20-period SMA and consolidating above the 1.0560 level. The next resistance stands at 1.0580, and a breakthrough would expose last week's highs at 1.0600. The short-term bullish bias will remain intact as long as it stays above 1.0530. A break below 1.0520 would target the 1.0500 area, indicating further weakness ahead.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.